基于人工智能的日滞后技术用于日前短期负荷预测

Azfar Inteha, Nahid-Al-Masood, S. R. Deeba
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引用次数: 2

摘要

负荷预测是电力系统运行维护中不可缺少的一部分。一个可靠的预测结果是经济可行的调度,机组承诺和能源安全。通过准确的预测方法,可以实现发电、输配电网络的智能电力管理和相应的能源需求。预测技术主要有两种,即统计方法和智能方法。要找到适合某一特定电网的预测模型并不容易。事实上,许多现有的预测方法并不能适用于所有的负荷需求序列。本文将一种基于人工智能的短期负荷预测技术应用于孟加拉国电网,并给出了改变数据处理日滞后参数的效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Artificial Intelligence Based Day Lag Technique for Day Ahead Short Term Load Forecasting
Load forecasting is an indispensable part of power system operation and maintenance. A reliable forecasting results in economically viable dispatch, unit commitment and energy security. Smart power management in generation, transmission and distribution network and corresponding need of energy can be realized with accurate forecasting methods. There are mainly two types of forecasting techniques i.e. statistical and intelligence method. It is not easy to find a suitable forecasting model for a particular power network. As a matter of fact, many developed forecasting methods cannot be fitted in all load demand sequences. In this paper, a short-term load forecasting (STLF) technique based on Artificial Intelligence for power network of Bangladesh has been applied and effect of changing a certain parameter called day lag of data processing is presented.
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