天然气对液体项目的经济学分析,作为印尼天然气储备的替代品

PETRO Pub Date : 2019-04-20 DOI:10.25105/PETRO.V7I4.4287
Muh Thahir, Dwi Atty Mardiana
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引用次数: 1

摘要

A油田的天然气储量估计为1073 TSCF,如果开发得当,将具有潜在的经济价值。天然气储量计划通过18口水下生产井进行开采,这些井连接到海平面以下300 - 1000米的5个水下歧管。天然气生产将由FPSO完成。产出的天然气将通过长达100公里的耐腐蚀合金海底管道输送到Yamdena岛上的陆上处理设施。天然气处理将通过在Yamdena岛上建造LNG设施或GTL设施来完成。液化天然气方案将天然气生产成液化天然气和凝析气。而GTL方案将天然气作为合成液体燃料生产,如液化石油气、石脑油、煤油和柴油。假设两种情况下使用的原料气体积为1.041 MMSCFD。GTL的净现值为1.743.44百万美元,LNG的净现值为1.9405.51百万美元。GTL的收益率为13.27%,LNG的收益率为13.14%。根据GTL方案累积现金流入计算的POT期将需要9,84年的时间,而LNG方案的POT期将需要9,90年的时间。GTL方案计算的PI值为1,46,LNG方案计算的PI值为1,44。对经济指标的敏感性分析发现,对经济指标值变化影响较大的参数是产品销售价格。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALISIS KEEKONOMIAN PROYEK GAS-TO-LIQUID SEBAGAI ALTERNATIF PEMANFAATAN CADANGAN GAS ALAM INDONESIA
The reservoir on Field A that has an estimated large reserve of natural gas of 10,73 TSCF would have a potential economic value when developed correctly. The natural gas reserve is planned to be extracted by utilizing 18 subsea production wells connected to five subsea manifolds at a depth of 300 ‒ 1000 m at below sea level. Gas production will be done by using FPSO. Produced gas then will be pumped to onshore processing facilities on Yamdena island through undersea pipeline that used corrosion resistant alloy as long as up to 100 km in length. The natural gas processing would either be done by building an LNG facility scenario or building a GTL facility scenario on Yamdena island. The LNG scenario would produce the natural gas into LNG and gas condensate. While the GTL scenario would produce the natural gas as a synthetic liquid fuel such as LPG, naphtha, kerosene, and diesel. The feed gas volume used on both scenarios is assumed to be 1.041 MMSCFD. The economic indicator calculated for GTL yields an NPV of 1.743,44 MMUS$ and for LNG yields 1.940,51 MMUS$. The IRR calculated for GTL yields 13,27% and for LNG yields 13,14%. The POT period calculated from cummulative cash inflow for GTL scenario will take 9,84 years time, while on LNG scenario POT will take 9,90 years time. The PI value calculated for GTL scenario yields a value of 1,46 and for LNG scenario yields a value of 1,44. Results from sensitivity analyses on economic indicator found that the parameters which has significant effect on the change of economic indicator values are product sell price.
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