市场动态。论供给和需求概念

V. Malyshkin
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引用次数: 8

摘要

供给和需求的不平衡通常被认为是市场的驱动力。然而,即使在交易之后,也不可能以不同于执行价格的价格测量或估计供需。提出了一种供给和需求总是匹配的方法,但它们匹配的比率$I=dv/dt$(单位时间内交易的单位数量)是不同的。系统的状态不是由价格$p$决定的,而是由定义为波函数$\psi(p)$平方的概率分布决定的。假设均衡状态$\psi^{[H]}$是给出最大$I$的状态,由最大化匹配率函数$ / $得到,即求解“未来价格趋向于单位时间内交易股票数量最大化”形式的动态方程。给出了该理论在拟平稳情况下的应用。这种从供需概念到流动性赤字概念的转变,用匹配率$I$来描述,只允许在可观察的变量下操作,并且具有适用于实际问题的理论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Market Dynamics. On Supply and Demand Concepts
The disbalance of Supply and Demand is typically considered as the driving force of the markets. However, the measurement or estimation of Supply and Demand at price different from the execution price is not possible even after the transaction. An approach in which Supply and Demand are always matched, but the rate $I=dv/dt$ (number of units traded per unit time) of their matching varies, is proposed. The state of the system is determined not by a price $p$, but by a probability distribution defined as the square of a wavefunction $\psi(p)$. The equilibrium state $\psi^{[H]}$ is postulated to be the one giving maximal $I$ and obtained from maximizing the matching rate functional $ / $, i.e. solving the dynamic equation of the form "future price tend to the value maximizing the number of shares traded per unit time". An application of the theory in a quasi--stationary case is demonstrated. This transition from Supply and Demand concept to Liquidity Deficit concept, described by the matching rate $I$, allows to operate only with observable variables, and have a theory applicable to practical problems.
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