从“艾克”飓风犯罪分析看加强灾害应对

IF 0.7 4区 管理学 Q4 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
Daniel Augusto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究使用时间序列分析,通过确定飓风艾克期间休斯敦犯罪的变化,为灾害响应工作提供信息。结果表明,在Ike期间,入室盗窃案显著增加了305%。严重攻击也显著增加,但盗窃和汽车盗窃分别下降了37%和16%。其他几起犯罪在艾克期间没有明显差异。这些发现,与其他研究相结合,表明在自然灾害期间入室盗窃持续增加,紧急支持功能13 (ESF-13)响应者应该为这一现实制定计划。本研究还提供了与备灾训练和演习有关的ESF-13管理的一些其他考虑。此外,该研究提供了对ESF-13反应者的需求的证据,并强调了它们作为常规活动理论下有能力监护的关键形式的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Strengthening Disaster Response Through Analysis of Crime During Hurricane Ike
Abstract This study uses time series analysis in an effort to inform disaster response efforts by identifying changes to Houston crime during Hurricane Ike. The results indicate that Burglaries increased significantly by 305% during Ike. Aggravated Assaults also increased significantly, but Theft and Auto Theft decreased by 37% and 16% respectively. Several other crimes revealed no significant differences during Ike. These findings, when combined with other research, show that Burglaries consistently increase during natural disasters, and Emergency Support Function 13 (ESF-13) responders should plan for that reality. This study also provides some other considerations for ESF-13 management related to disaster preparedness training and exercises. Additionally, the study provides evidence of the need for ESF-13 responders and reinforces their importance as a key form of capable guardianship under Routine Activities Theory.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
12.50%
发文量
11
期刊介绍: The Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management publishes original, innovative, and timely articles describing research or practice in the fields of homeland security and emergency management. JHSEM publishes not only peer-reviewed articles, but also news and communiqués from researchers and practitioners, and book/media reviews. Content comes from a broad array of authors representing many professions, including emergency management, engineering, political science and policy, decision science, and health and medicine, as well as from emergency management and homeland security practitioners.
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