埃塞俄比亚阿姆哈拉地区信贷约束对化肥使用强度和农业生产率的影响:一个内生转换回归分析

Mulat Goshu Gebeyehu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要:在埃塞俄比亚等发展中国家,农村家庭获得融资是促进农业投入和提高农业生产力的有力干预措施。信贷限制限制了家庭在最佳水平上使用投入的能力,从而抑制了农业生产力。然而,评估信贷约束对农业技术采用和生产力的影响面临着方法上的问题,现有的大多数研究都未能明确衡量和分析如果农户发现信贷不受约束,生产力损失的数量和化肥使用强度的增加幅度。本研究考察了信贷约束对不同信贷约束状况家庭的肥料使用强度和生产力可能产生的影响。该研究使用了2013年从1165个随机抽样家庭中收集的横截面农户数据。为了解释选择偏差和异质性问题,本文采用了内生切换回归模型进行分析。结果表明,在信贷不受约束的农户中,肥料使用强度和农业生产率会更高。结果表明,影响信贷受限农户化肥使用强度和农业生产率的因素存在差异。信用无约束制度下,户主年龄、年龄平方、主要合作社成员、耕牛数量、电视拥有量、雇人和粪肥使用量对肥料使用强度有显著影响。而农户规模、土地海拔高度、土地所有权、土地耕作方式和风险厌恶程度对信贷约束下农户化肥使用强度有显著影响。结果表明:在有约束条件下,土地面积对化肥使用强度有显著的负向影响,而在无约束条件下,土地面积对化肥使用强度有显著的正向影响。在无约束制度下,户主年龄、年龄平方、户籍总人数、雇佣劳动力是显著影响生产率的因素。牛的数量和农田与住所的距离也会影响生产力。土地规模在信贷约束下对生产率有显著的负向影响,而在信贷约束下对生产率有显著的正向影响。政策含义是,政策制定者在制定农业政策以增加肥料使用强度从而提高农业生产率时,应考虑农户之间的信贷约束异质性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect Of Credit Constraints On Intensity Of Fertilzer Adoption And Agriclutural Productivity In Amhara Region, Ethiopia: An Endogenous Switching Regression Analysis
Abstract:Access to finance to the rural households is a powerful intervention to facilitate the adoption of farm inputs and boost agricultural productivity in developing countries like Ethiopia. Credit constraints limit the ability of households to use inputs at optimal level and thereby stifles agricultural productivity. However, evaluation of the impact of credit constraints on agricultural technology adoption and productivity have faced methodological problems and most of the existing studies have failed to explicitly measure and analyze the amount of productivity loss and the magnitude increase in intensity of fertilizer adoption if the farm households are found credit unconstrained. This study has examined the possible effect of credit constraint on the intensity of fertilizer adoption and productivity among households who vary in their credit constraint status. The study used cross sectional farm household level data collected in 2013 from 1165 randomly sampled households. An endogenous switching regression model is used for analytical purpose so as to account for selection bias and heterogeneity problem. The result evidence that intensity of fertilizer adoption and agriculture productivity would be higher among farm households who are found to be credit unconstrained. The result revealed that factors that affect the intensity of fertilizer adoption and agriculture productivity among credit constrained farm households are different from their counterparts. Age and age square of the household head, primary cooperative membership, number of Oxen, ownership of TV, hired labor as dummy and use of manure have significant effect on the intensity of fertilizer adoption among credit unconstrained regimes. Whereas, household size, altitude of land, ownership of land, way of land cultivation, and being risk averse household have significant effect on the intensity of fertilizer adoption in the credit constrained regimes. The result shown that size of land has negative and significant effect on the intensity of fertilizer adoption in the constrained regime while it has positive and significant effect on the intensity of adoption in the unconstrained regime. Age and age square of the household head, TLU, hired labor as dummy are the factors that significantly affect the productivity in the unconstrained regimes. The number of oxen and distance of farm land from residence also affect the productivity. Land size has found the significant and negative effect on the productivity in the constrained regime, but it has the positive and significant effect in the credit constrained regime. The policy implication is that the policy makers should account the credit constraint heterogeneity among farm households when they design agricultural policy to increase intensity of fertilizer adoption and thereby boost productivity of agriculture.
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