基于改进局部加权偏最小二乘的设备运行性能预测方法

Mingji Li, Ning Cao, Hao Lu, Fan Gao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于电力系统中计量设备的运行数据具有较强的非线性和即时性,传统方法无法对其进行有效的建模、预测和分析。提出了一种基于k均值聚类的改进局部加权偏最小二乘算法(K-MLWPLS)。该方法首先使用k -means聚类算法将训练集划分为k个子训练集;然后利用局部加权偏最小二乘算法结合双尺度相似度测度对子训练集进行建模,并利用网格搜索和交叉验证对模型参数进行调整,得到优化后的k个子模型;然后对测试集样本,基于质心邻居半径加权的子模型进行积分,计算出测试集样本对应的最终预测值。将该算法应用于计量设备运行数据的预测分析。实验结果表明,与传统的建模算法相比,K-MLWPLS算法显著提高了模型的预测精度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Predict Method of Measuring Equipment Operation Performance Based on Improved Local Weighted Partial Least Squares
In view of the fact that the operation data of metering equipment in the power system has strong nonlinearity and immediacy, traditional methods cannot effectively model, predict and analyze. This paper proposes an improved local weighted partial least squares algorithm (K-MLWPLS) based on K-means clustering. The method first uses the K-means clustering algorithm to divide the training set into k sub-training sets; then uses the locally weighted partial least squares algorithm combined with the Two-scale similarity measure to model the sub-training sets, and uses grid search and Cross-validation adjusts the model parameters to obtain the optimized k sub-models; then for the test set samples, the sub-models weighted based on the centroid neighbour’s radius are integrated to calculate the final predicted value corresponding to the test set samples. The algorithm is applied to the prediction analysis of the operation data of the metering equipment. The experimental results show that the K-MLWPLS algorithm significantly improves the prediction accuracy of the model compared with the traditional modeling algorithm.
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