四个太阳活动周期极小期的太阳风参数及其地球效率

V. Degtyarev, G. Popov, S. Chudnenko
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摘要

最近出现了许多关于太阳活动第23周期长而深的极小期的出版物。这种兴趣是由于事实证明,在整个太空探索时代,就太阳黑子的数量而言,它是最长和最深的。太阳活动第23周期的极小期特征和第24周期的开始使我们有可能假设,在未来几十年里,可能会出现类似道尔顿极小期或蒙德极小期的太阳活动极小期,从而导致地球气候的全球性变化。这些假设使得详细研究第23太阳周期最小值对太阳风和行星际磁场参数的影响,并将这种影响与前三个太阳周期的类似表现进行比较变得非常迫切。这项工作对印刷的和互联网上的关于太阳活动指数(W和F10.7)、地磁活动以及太阳风和行星际场参数的数据进行统计处理和分析。与其他类似研究相比,在选择所有周期的时间间隔时,只使用了1 - 12个月,这使得排除太阳风参数的年度和半年度变化成为可能。对于考虑的太阳活动最小值,考虑了干扰通量ICME、CIR和鞘的地球有效性。发现ICME流的地质有效性呈单调且非常显著的下降。对4个周期地磁活动极小期太阳风参数逐小时平均值的数据处理证实,第23周期的磁场行为与前几个周期有显著差异。报纸上讨论的日冕抛射的地球有效性逐周期下降值得用大量的磁活动指数数据进行更详细的分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Solar Wind Parameters and Its Geoefficiency During Minimums of Four Solar Cycles
Recently a number of publications have appeared on the long and deep minimum in cycle 23 of solar activity. This interest is due to the fact that it turned out to be the longest and deepest in terms of the number of sunspots in the entire era of space exploration. The features of the minimum of cycle 23 of solar activity and the beginning of cycle 24 made it possible to assume that in the coming decades, a minimum of solar activity similar to the Dalton or Maunder minimum, leading to a global change in the earth's climate, may occur. Such assumptions make a detailed study of the influence of the minimum of solar cycle 23 on the parameters of the solar wind and the interplanetary magnetic field, as well as a comparison of this influence with similar manifestations in the three previous cycles very urgent. The work carried out statistical processing and analysis of data available in print and on the Internet on the indices of solar activity (W and F10.7), on geomagnetic activity, as well as on the parameters of the solar wind and interplanetary field. In contrast to other similar studies, when choosing time intervals for all cycles, only one — 12 months was used, which made it possible to exclude annual and semi-annual variations in solar wind parameters. For the considered minima of solar activity, the geoeffectiveness of the disturbed fluxes ICME, CIR, and Sheath was considered. A monotonic and very significant decrease in the geoeffectiveness of the ICME streams was found. Data processing on the hourly average values of the solar wind parameters at the minima of geomagnetic activity for 4 cycles confirmed the significant difference between cycle 23 and the previous ones in the behavior of the magnetic field. The cycle-by-cycle decrease in the geoeffectiveness of coronal ejections discussed in the press deserves a more detailed analysis using extensive data on magnetic activity indices.
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