Ecological risk assessment on the habitats of typical aquatic species in the middle reach of the Yangtze River: Implication for three gorges reservoir operation

Abstract The operation of a reservoir may change natural hydrological processes, thus affecting the habitat of aquatic organisms. However, the risks posed by reservoirs on aquatic organisms remain to be fully evaluated. In this study, a risk assessment model was established to assess the ecological risk of reservoir flow regulation based on the consequences of deviating from the environmental flow range of an aquatic habitat. We applied this model to the Three Gorges Reservoir by obtaining the risk time series of different aquatic habitats in the Yangtze River before and after the construction of the reservoir. The risk analysis results showed that when habitat discharge is above or below the appropriate range of environmental flows, the ecological risk increases. The Chinese sturgeon, four major Chinese carp species, and finless porpoise habitats were identified to be at low-flow risk, low-flow risk, and high-flow risk, respectively. We suggest that the habitat flows of Chinese sturgeon, four major Chinese carp species, and finless porpoise during the spawning period should not be less than 6,850, 7,000, and 13,500 m3/s, respectively. The results of this study could help river managers optimize reservoir operations to minimize risks and maximize ecological benefits.