坦桑尼亚家庭冲击对儿童上学的影响

M. Kauky, R. Lokina, M. Chegere
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摘要

本研究考察了家庭冲击对坦桑尼亚儿童上学的影响。利用坦桑尼亚国家小组调查2008-2013年的数据和随机效应probit回归模型,该研究分析了冲击与儿童上学之间的联系,以出勤率和逃学率来衡量。结果表明,冲击(天气、食品价格上涨和家庭成员死亡)会影响入学率。此外,户主的教育增加了儿童上学的可能性,减少了儿童逃学的可能性。研究发现,获得信贷可以增加儿童上学的可能性。因此,帮助贫困和边缘化家庭支付子女教育费用的措施包括改善他们获得信贷的机会和制定有利于贫困人口的政策,如改善灌溉计划和推广抗旱作物,这些措施将提高农业生产、增加收入和改善对冲击的脆弱性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effects of Household Shocks on Children’s Schooling in Tanzania
This study examines effects of household shocks on children’s schooling in Tanzania. Using data from the Tanzania National Panel Survey - 2008–2013 and the randomeffects probit regression model, the study analyses the link between the shocks and child schooling, measured by school attendance and truancy. The results show that the shocks (weather, food price rises and death of a family member) affect school attendance. Furthermore, education of the head of the household increases the probability of child school attendance and reduces the probability of child truancy. Access to credit is found to increase the probability of child school attendance. Therefore, measures to help the poor and marginalized households to afford their children’s education include improving their access to credit and establishing pro-poor policies, such as improving irrigation schemes and promoting drought-resistant crops, which would enhance agricultural production, increase incomes and improve vulnerability to shocks.
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