没有垃圾的资产定价

Tim A. Kroencke
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引用次数: 89

摘要

本文解释了为什么垃圾作为消费的衡量指标,在基于消费的资产定价模型中,其相对风险厌恶系数比基于官方国民收入和产品账户(NIPA)的消费低几倍:与垃圾不同,NIPA消费被过滤以减轻测量误差。我应用了过滤过程的结构模型,它允许撤销NIPA消耗中固有的过滤器。在解释股票溢价和无风险利率难题时,未经过滤的NIPA消费表现得和垃圾一样好。此外,我发现另外两个流行的基于NIPA的指标,三年和第四季度NIPA消费,与未过滤的NIPA消费有关。两者都可以看作是特别的非过滤规则。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Asset Pricing without Garbage
This paper provides an explanation why garbage as a measure of consumption implies a several times lower coefficient of relative risk aversion in the consumption-based asset pricing model than consumption based on the official National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA): Unlike garbage, NIPA consumption is filtered to mitigate measurement error. I apply a structural model of the filtering process, which allows to revoke the filter inherent in NIPA consumption. Unfiltered NIPA consumption performs as well as garbage in explaining the equity premium and risk-free rate puzzle. Furthermore, I find that two other popular NIPA-based measures, three-year and fourth-quarter NIPA consumption, are related to unfiltered NIPA consumption. Both can be viewed as ad hoc unfilter rules.
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