危机冲击条件下现代俄罗斯青年对政治制度的信任

IF 0.1 Q3 HISTORY
Sergey I. Morozov, K. Makarenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

介绍。本文分析了现代俄罗斯政府与社会的互动关系,主要表现为信任现象。作者关注的重点是研究危机动荡(COVID-19大流行和乌克兰特别军事行动的实施)对俄罗斯联邦人口对主要政治机构信任变化的影响。该研究的相关性取决于需要修复当局与社会之间现有的互动形式,以及从社会向后危机状态过渡的角度确定改变这些做法的前景。方法和材料。这项研究的方法论基础是新制度方法,由于政治机构在建立和遵守“游戏规则”方面的活动,新制度方法使呈现信任成为可能。该研究的实证基础是俄罗斯最大的社会学中心进行的民意调查。分析和结果。对政治机构的信任是文明社会的一种重要现象,体现了规则的重要性,而不是具体的个性。该研究表明,在俄罗斯,危机局势是由改变社会中形成的“游戏规则”和与当局沟通形式的外部冲击造成的制度性决定的轨迹,是信任(普遍和制度性)指数增长的条件。与此同时,在危机期间,甚至对传统上受到社会大多数人批评的机构(如政府和国家杜马)的信任水平也有所提高。年轻人在政治行为上是反动的和多变的,他们对政治机构的信任增加了。然而,如果成年人的信任是基于对未来的情感希望,那么青少年的信任通常是基于理性的理由。然而,当社会经济发展的传统问题再次出现在社会形成的议程上时,在危机期间对主要政治机构的信任急剧增加可能会被“正常”条件的同样迅速下降所取代。作者的贡献。S.I. Morozov对现代俄罗斯的制度信任研究进行了分析,选择并充实了工作的理论和方法框架,并形成了研究的总体概念。K.M. Makarenko对研究课题的实证数据进行了总结和分析,实证了危机冲击对俄罗斯联邦制度信任的作用和影响,并提出了研究的主要结论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trust of Modern Russian Youth in Political Institutions in Conditions of Crisis Shocks
Introduction. The article is devoted to the analysis of the interaction between government and society in modern Russia, expressed in the phenomenon of trust. The focus of the authors’ attention is directed to the study of the impact of crisis upheavals (the COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of the Special Military Operation in Ukraine) on the change in the trust of the population of the Russian Federation in the main political institutions. The relevance of the study is determined by the need to fix the existing forms of interaction between the authorities and society as well as identify the prospects for changing these practices in the perspective of society’s transition to a post-crisis state. Methods and materials. The methodological basis of the study was the neo-institutional approach, which made it possible to present trust because of the activity of political institutions in building and observing the “rules of the game.” The empirical basis of the study is public opinion polls conducted by the largest Russian sociological centers. Analysis and results. Trust in political institutions is presented as an important phenomenon of civilized societies, characterizing the importance of rules rather than specific personalities. The study revealed that in Russia, crisis situations, which are institutionally determined trajectories caused by external shocks that change the “rules of the game” that have developed in society and forms of communication with the authorities, are a condition for an exponential growth of trust (both generalized and institutional). At the same time, during crises, an increase in the level of trust is observed even for institutions that are traditionally criticized by most of society (such as the government and the State Duma). The youth, being reactionary and variable in their political behavior, show increased trust in political institutions. However, if adult trust is based on emotional hope for the future, youth trust is usually based on rational grounds. Yet a sharp increase in trust in the main political institutions during crises can be replaced by the same rapid decline in the conditions of “normality” when the traditional problems of socio-economic development again come to the fore on the agenda formed by society. Authors’ contributions. S.I. Morozov carried out an analysis of studies on institutional trust in modern Russia, chose and substantiated the theoretical and methodological framework of the work, and also formed the general concept of the study. K.M. Makarenko summarized and analyzed empirical data on the research topic, substantiated the role and impact of crisis shocks on institutional trust in the Russian Federation, and formulated the main conclusions of the work.
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