为什么坦桑尼亚必须工业化?

B. Mkenda
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2005年至2017年,坦桑尼亚GDP年均增长率为6.4%,但对就业和减贫的影响有限。现任政府的口号“坦桑尼亚万岁”就是为了解决这两个问题。本文的目标有四个方面:首先,要清楚地了解坦桑尼亚的背景和为什么工业化是必要的;第二,考察坦桑尼亚在多大程度上进行了结构转型,以及这对贫困和没有就业机会的增长有何影响;第三,考察工业发展如何促进农业生产;第四,评估坦桑尼亚工业化进程中存在的机遇和挑战,并得出一些政策启示。本文使用二手来源的劳动力市场、宏观和贸易数据,并采用探索性分析方法。报告的结论是,坦桑尼亚工业化的必要性再怎么强调也不为过,因为它取得了以下成果:结构转型、创造就业、提高农业生产率和减少贫困。工业化进程必须集中于坦桑尼亚的比较优势,并确保已确定的一些挑战,例如:这些问题,包括基础设施薄弱、营商环境薄弱、区域一体化障碍等,都是众所周知的问题,都得到了解决,都得到了应有的重视。JEL代码:I30, J60, O55
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why is it Imperative for Tanzania to Industrialize?
Tanzania’s average annual growth rate of GDP of 6.4% between 2005 and 2017 has had limited impact on jobs and poverty reduction. The current government’s mantra, ‘Tanzania ya Viwanda’, is meant to tackle these two problems. The objectives of thepaper are fourfold: first, to gain clear understanding of the Tanzanian context and why it is imperative to industrialize; second, to examine to what extent Tanzania has structurally transformed, and how that has been responsible for poverty and growthwithout jobs; third, to examine how industrial development could enhance agricultural production; and fourth, to assess the opportunities and challenges that exist in Tanzania’s industrialization drive and draw some policy implications. The paper uses labour market, macro and trade data from secondary sources, and employs the exploratory analytical approach. It concludes that the imperative to industrialize in Tanzania cannot be overemphasized due to the following gains: structural transformation, job creation, higher agricultural productivity, and poverty reduction. The industrialization drive must focus on Tanzania’s comparative advantage and ensure that some of the challenges identified—i.e., poor infrastructure, weak business environment and regional integration hurdles—are well known, addressed, and given the priority they deserve. JEL Codes: I30, J60, O55
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