不良贷款对孟加拉国银行业增长的影响

Momtaj Parvin, Merajul Islam, L. Vdovenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

一个国家的银行体系是其经济繁荣的预测指标。然而,金融部门经历了相互矛盾的反应。不良贷款的增加是银行业金融危机的一个显著特征。据孟加拉国银行称,国有银行容易大幅倒闭,这对整个商业银行业产生了连锁反应。这项研究的目的是确定不良贷款对孟加拉国银行系统增长的影响。这篇论文主要是一份调查研究,优先考虑二手数据。尽管如此,我们还是使用了原始数据,例如与银行人员和工作人员的面对面访谈,以及与客户的随意交谈。本文的次要来源包括孟加拉国银行公告、当前的报纸和期刊、一些已发表和未发表的研究报告、各种网站和大量同行评审的出版物。本文采用多元回归分析方法评估了2012 - 2021年不良贷款对银行业增长的影响。研究发现,不良贷款率、资产收益率和净资产收益率呈极显著负相关,不良贷款率、资产收益率和资产收益率呈显著负相关。然而,备选假设被接受,而零假设被拒绝。因此,不良贷款严重影响银行的发展,因为它们恶化了银行的流动性问题,降低了盈利能力,引发了资本约束,甚至危及金融体系的稳定性和生存能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Non-Performing Loans on the Growth of the Banking Sector in Bangladesh
The banking system of a country is a predictor of its economic prosperity. However, the financial sector has experienced contradictory reactions. The rise of non-performing loans is a notable feature of the banking industry's financial crisis. According to Bangladesh Bank, state-owned banks are prone to substantial collapses, which have a knock-on effect on the entire commercial banking sector. The aim of the study is to determine the impact of non-performing loans on the growth of the banking system in Bangladesh. The paper is mostly an investigative desk study that prioritizes secondary data. Nonetheless, primary data was used, such as in-person interviews with bank personnel and staff, as well as casual conversations with clients. Secondary sources for this article include Bangladesh Bank bulletins, current newspapers and periodicals, some published and unpublished research reports, various websites, and a large number of peer-reviewed publications. The paper incorporates multiple regression analysis to assess the impact of non-performing loans on banking sector growth from 2012 to 2021. The findings revealed a highly significant inverse correlation among NPL, CRAR, and ROE, as well as a significant but negative relationship among NPL, ROA, NIM, and SLR. However, the alternative hypothesis is accepted, whereas the null hypothesis is rejected. Therefore, NPLs have a severe effect on banking advancement since they worsen banks' liquidity issues, lower profitability, trigger capital constraints, and even jeopardize the financial system’s stability and viability.
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