通过ρ估计方法估计密度、危险率和过渡强度

IF 1.2 2区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
M. Sart
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们通过扩大[BBS17]中开发的ρ估计方法,提出了对三种统计设置的统一研究。更具体地说,我们的目标是估计一个密度,一个危险率(从删减数据),和一个时间非齐次马尔可夫过程的过渡强度。我们将ρ估计量的性能与(可能无界的)经验过程的偏差联系起来。我们推导了可能随机模型上hellinger型损失的非渐近风险界。当模型为凸时,极大似然估计量与ρ估计量重合,从而满足我们的风险界。然而,我们的结果也适用于一些最大似然方法不起作用的模型。此外,ρ估计量的鲁棒性一般不为极大似然估计量所共有。随后,我们提出了一个替代ρ估计的过程,它在数值上更友好,它产生了一个分段多项式估计量。我们证明了理论结果并进行了一些数值模拟,与基于最大似然的更经典的方法相比,我们的方法具有优势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating a density, a hazard rate, and a transition intensity via the ρ-estimation method
We propose a unified study of three statistical settings by widening the ρ-estimation method developed in [BBS17]. More specifically, we aim at estimating a density, a hazard rate (from censored data), and a transition intensity of a time inhomogeneous Markov process. We relate the performance of ρ-estimators to deviations of a (possibly unbounded) empirical process. We deduce non-asymptotic risk bounds for an Hellinger-type loss on possibly random models. When the models are convex, maximum likelihood estimators coincide with ρ-estimators, and satisfy therefore our risk bounds. However, our results also apply to some models where the maximum likelihood method does not work. Besides, the robustness properties of ρ-estimators are not, in general, shared by maximum likelihood estimators. Subsequently, we present an alternative procedure to ρ-estimation, more numerically friendly, that yields a piecewise polynomial estimator. We prove theoretical results and carry out some numerical simulations that show the benefits of our approach compared with a more classical one based on maximum likelihood.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
85
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Probability and Statistics section of the Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré is an international journal which publishes high quality research papers. The journal deals with all aspects of modern probability theory and mathematical statistics, as well as with their applications.
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