波黑Peripannonian地区极端温度指数的变化

IF 0.9 4区社会学 Q3 GEOGRAPHY

Geografie-Sbornik CGS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI:10.37040/geografie2019124010019

T. Popov, Slobodan Gnjato, Goran Trbić

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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文分析了波黑Peripannonian地区极端温度指数的变化。利用1961-2016年4个气象站的日最低和最高气温数据，在RClimDex(1.0)软件中计算了气候变化探测和指数专家组推荐的16个指数的趋势。极端温暖指数的估计显著上升趋势和与寒冷有关的指数的下降趋势证实了变暖的存在。指数TXx、TNn、TN90p、TX90p、SU25、SU30和WSDI的趋势值最高。结果表明，与1961 - 1990年相比，1987 - 2016年期间的分布发生了显著变化。东大西洋模式与全年极端暖(冷)指数之间存在显著的正(负)相关。在冬季和春季，也分别发现了与北大西洋涛动和北极涛动的显著联系。

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Changes in extreme temperature indices over the Peripannonian region of Bosnia and Herzegovina

The paper analyzes changes in extreme temperature indices over the Peripannonian region of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Data on daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the period 1961–2016 from four meteorological stations were used for the calculation in the RClimDex (1.0) sopware trends in 16 indices recommended by the Expert team on climate change detection and indices. The estimated significant upward tendency in indices of warm extremes and downward in cold-related indices confirm that warming is present. The highest trend values were obtained for indices TXx, TNn, TN90p, TX90p, SU25, SU30 and WSDI. The results indicate significant distributional changes in the period 1987−2016 compared to the period 1961−1990. A significant positive (negative) correlation between the East-Atlantic pattern and indices of warm (cold) extremes was determined throughout the year. In winter and spring, significant links to the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation, respectively, were also found.

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来源期刊

Geografie-Sbornik CGS Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development

CiteScore

2.20

自引率

0.00%

发文量