农业就业不足

A. Panagariya
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摘要

这一章以印度农业政策的历史开始。报告继续指出,仅以改善农业成果为目的的政策不能给从事农业的人带来繁荣。如今,农业雇佣了印度44%的劳动力,但产出最多只占GDP的17%。由于整体人均GDP本身较低,每个工人的农业产出极低,表明劳动力总体就业不足。因此,使价格向有利于农民而不利于中间商的市场改革不会走得太远。在农业自给自足的情况下,生产力的提高可能会导致价格的降低,而不是收入的增加。此外,即使在长达十年的时间里,农业增长率也很少超过4.5%。通过农业多样化进入园艺、渔业和畜牧业来增加收入的空间也很有限。其结果是,迅速增加农业收入的唯一途径是为一半或更多的农业劳动力迁移到工业和服务业铺平道路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Underemployment in Agriculture
The chapter begins with a history of agricultural policy in India. It goes on to argue that policies aimed at improving outcomes within agriculture alone cannot bring prosperity to those engaged in it. Today, agriculture employs 44 percent of India’s workforce but produces at most 17 percent of GDP. With the overall GDP per capita itself low, agricultural output per worker is extremely low, indicating gross underemployment of labor. Therefore, marketing reforms that shift prices in favor of the farmer and against intermediaries cannot go very far. With self-sufficiency in agriculture, increases in productivity will likely result in lower prices rather than higher revenues. Besides, agricultural growth rarely exceeds 4.5 percent over even a decade-long period. Scope for increased incomes through diversification within agriculture into horticulture, fisheries, and animal husbandry is also limited. The upshot is that the only avenue to increasing agricultural incomes rapidly is to pave the way for half or more of the farm workforce to migrate into industry and services.
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