股票价格对货币需求的影响:以肯尼亚为例

J. Mwanzia, M. Ndanshau, E. Luvanda
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本研究旨在实证调查股票市场价格对肯尼亚真实货币余额长期需求的影响。采用协整和误差校正模型(ECM)的现代时间序列计量经济学方法拟合1996:I-2011:II期间的季度时间序列数据。分析确定了在样本期间,股票市场价格对肯尼亚真实货币余额的需求存在积极影响。其中,研究结果表明,在样本期间,股票价格的财富效应主导了肯尼亚货币需求的替代效应。由此产生的货币政策含义是:对股票市场财富效应的控制对于稳定的货币需求函数很重要,这将使肯尼亚的货币政策有效。然而,还需要更多的研究,包括货币供给对股票价格的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Stock Prices on Demand for Money: The Case of Kenya
This study sought to investigate empirically the effect of stock market prices on the long-run demand for real money balances in Kenya. Modern time series econometric methods of co-integration and error correction modelling (ECM) were used to fitquarterly time series data for the period 1996:I–2011:II. The analysis established the existence of a positive effect of stock market prices on the demand for real money balances in Kenya during the sample period. Among others, the findings suggested thewealth effect from stock prices dominated the substitution effect in demand for money in Kenya during the sample period. The arising monetary policy implication is one: control for the wealth effect from stock market was important for stable money demand function that would make monetary policy effective in Kenya. Nevertheless, more research is required, including also on the effect of money supply on stock prices.
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