Yusuf Olatunji Oyedeko, Olusola Segun Kolawole, Isah Ibrahim, O. Zharikova
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究采用Fama-French五因素模型和Higher Moment Fama-French五因素模型考察了尼日利亚股市风险与收益的关系。在113家公司的股票样本中,选取了90家经常交易的公司股票。本研究使用的数据为每月股票价格、市场指数、无风险利率(以国库券利率代替)、持股比例、市值、权益账面价值、息税前收益、总资产。整个样本期为2005-2020年。数据摘自尼日利亚外汇交易所(NGX)网站、尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)网站和标准普尔(S&P)数据库。采用Fama-MacBeth两步回归方法。研究发现,系统性风险对收益有显著的负向影响,而非系统性风险对收益有显著的正向影响。该研究的结论是,长期以来假设风险与回报之间存在正相关关系的观点在尼日利亚股市中并不成立,市场风险是回报的唯一决定因素的假设是无效的。系统的余偏性风险是尼日利亚股票市场的重要风险因素,高矩FF5F模型优于FF5F模型。研究建议投资者应关注其投资收益如何与系统风险之外的其他风险维度,如非系统风险、系统焦度风险、系统焦度风险和非市场风险协同变化。
Risk-Return Relationship in the Nigerian Stock Market: Comparative between Fama-French Five-Factor Model and Higher Moment Fama-French Five-Factor Model
The study looked at the relationship between risk and return in the Nigerian stock market using Fama-French five-factor model and Higher Moment Fama-French five-factor model. The employed 90 companies’ stocks that are frequently traded out of the sample size of 113 companies’ stocks. The monthly stock prices, market index, risk-free rate (which was substituted with the rate on Treasury bills), ownership shareholdings, market capitalization, book value of equity, earnings before interest and taxes, and total assets were the data used in this study. The entire sample period covered from 2005-2020. The data was extracted from the Nigerian Group of Exchange (NGX) website, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) website, and the Standard and Poor (S&P) database. The Fama-MacBeth two-step regression method was employed. It was found that systematic risk has significant negative effect on return while unsystematic risk has significant positive effect on return. The study concluded that the long standing view of hypothesised positive relationship between risk and return does not hold in the Nigerian stock market and the assumption that market risk is the only determinant of return is invalidated. Also, systematic coskewness risk is an important risk factor in the Nigerian stock market and higher moment FF5F model and CoFF5F model is superior to FF5F model. The study recommended that the investors should focused on how their investment return co-move with other dimension of risk such as unsystematic risk, systematic cokewness risk, systematic cokurtosis risk and non-market risk apart from the systematic risk.