基于SPEI指数的新疆干湿变化特征

IF 1 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Atmosfera Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI:10.20937/ATM.52952
Hui Zhao, Xinguo Li, M. Eziz, Junqiang Yao
{"title":"基于SPEI指数的新疆干湿变化特征","authors":"Hui Zhao, Xinguo Li, M. Eziz, Junqiang Yao","doi":"10.20937/ATM.52952","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Based on the monthly observed temperature and precipitation data of 55 meteorological stations in Xinjiang from 1961 to 2015, using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was adopted. The results show that: In recent 55 years, precipitation and temperature in Xinjiang have an increasing trend, with the change rates of 8.90mm/10a and 0.39℃/10a, respectively. The warming characteristics were obviously stronger than that of humidification, forming the spatial and temporal differences and complexity of dry and wet changes. From 1961 to 1987, it was in the alternate period of drought and drought alleviation, and 1987-1996 was in the drought relief period. Among them, 1997 and 2008 were the more serious drought years, and the proportion of drought stations was 82% and 78% respectively. EOF1 reflects that the overall dry and wet changes in the study area were weakening, and there was a drying trend; EOF2 was a reverse change in the northern and Southern Xinjiang; EOF3 shows that the East Tianshan had a drying trend, while the western part of Southern Xinjiang has the trend of drought alleviation. The spectra of wavelet coherence and cross wavelet transform showed that the SPEI values in Xinjiang have resonance periods of different time scales with the Atlantic multi-year intergenerational oscillation (AMO), El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Pacific interdecadal oscillation (PDO), but in different time domain correlation has certain differences, illustrate the atmospheric circulation index was one of the factors influencing the region year SPEI.","PeriodicalId":55576,"journal":{"name":"Atmosfera","volume":"83 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Characteristics of dry-wet changes in Xinjiang based on SPEI index\",\"authors\":\"Hui Zhao, Xinguo Li, M. Eziz, Junqiang Yao\",\"doi\":\"10.20937/ATM.52952\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Based on the monthly observed temperature and precipitation data of 55 meteorological stations in Xinjiang from 1961 to 2015, using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was adopted. The results show that: In recent 55 years, precipitation and temperature in Xinjiang have an increasing trend, with the change rates of 8.90mm/10a and 0.39℃/10a, respectively. The warming characteristics were obviously stronger than that of humidification, forming the spatial and temporal differences and complexity of dry and wet changes. From 1961 to 1987, it was in the alternate period of drought and drought alleviation, and 1987-1996 was in the drought relief period. Among them, 1997 and 2008 were the more serious drought years, and the proportion of drought stations was 82% and 78% respectively. EOF1 reflects that the overall dry and wet changes in the study area were weakening, and there was a drying trend; EOF2 was a reverse change in the northern and Southern Xinjiang; EOF3 shows that the East Tianshan had a drying trend, while the western part of Southern Xinjiang has the trend of drought alleviation. The spectra of wavelet coherence and cross wavelet transform showed that the SPEI values in Xinjiang have resonance periods of different time scales with the Atlantic multi-year intergenerational oscillation (AMO), El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Pacific interdecadal oscillation (PDO), but in different time domain correlation has certain differences, illustrate the atmospheric circulation index was one of the factors influencing the region year SPEI.\",\"PeriodicalId\":55576,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Atmosfera\",\"volume\":\"83 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-02-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Atmosfera\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.52952\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Atmosfera","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.52952","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

基于1961 - 2015年新疆55个气象站逐月气温和降水观测资料,采用标准化降水蒸散发指数(SPEI)。结果表明:近55 a来,新疆降水和气温均呈增加趋势,变化速率分别为8.90mm/10a和0.39℃/10a;增温特征明显强于加湿特征,形成了干湿变化的时空差异性和复杂性。1961 ~ 1987年处于旱情与抗旱交替期,1987 ~ 1996年处于抗旱期。其中,1997年和2008年是干旱较为严重的年份,干旱站占比分别为82%和78%。EOF1反映研究区干湿变化总体呈减弱趋势,呈干燥趋势;EOF2在北疆和南疆呈相反变化;EOF3表明,东天山有干旱趋势,南疆西部有干旱缓解趋势。小波相干谱和交叉小波变换表明,新疆SPEI值与大西洋多年代际涛动(AMO)、厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)、北大西洋涛动(NAO)和太平洋年代际涛动(PDO)具有不同时间尺度的共振周期,但在不同的时域相关性存在一定差异,说明大气环流指数是影响区域年SPEI的因素之一。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Characteristics of dry-wet changes in Xinjiang based on SPEI index
Based on the monthly observed temperature and precipitation data of 55 meteorological stations in Xinjiang from 1961 to 2015, using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was adopted. The results show that: In recent 55 years, precipitation and temperature in Xinjiang have an increasing trend, with the change rates of 8.90mm/10a and 0.39℃/10a, respectively. The warming characteristics were obviously stronger than that of humidification, forming the spatial and temporal differences and complexity of dry and wet changes. From 1961 to 1987, it was in the alternate period of drought and drought alleviation, and 1987-1996 was in the drought relief period. Among them, 1997 and 2008 were the more serious drought years, and the proportion of drought stations was 82% and 78% respectively. EOF1 reflects that the overall dry and wet changes in the study area were weakening, and there was a drying trend; EOF2 was a reverse change in the northern and Southern Xinjiang; EOF3 shows that the East Tianshan had a drying trend, while the western part of Southern Xinjiang has the trend of drought alleviation. The spectra of wavelet coherence and cross wavelet transform showed that the SPEI values in Xinjiang have resonance periods of different time scales with the Atlantic multi-year intergenerational oscillation (AMO), El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Pacific interdecadal oscillation (PDO), but in different time domain correlation has certain differences, illustrate the atmospheric circulation index was one of the factors influencing the region year SPEI.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Atmosfera
Atmosfera 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
46
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: ATMÓSFERA seeks contributions on theoretical, basic, empirical and applied research in all the areas of atmospheric sciences, with emphasis on meteorology, climatology, aeronomy, physics, chemistry, and aerobiology. Interdisciplinary contributions are also accepted; especially those related with oceanography, hydrology, climate variability and change, ecology, forestry, glaciology, agriculture, environmental pollution, and other topics related to economy and society as they are affected by atmospheric hazards.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信