法国电力需求的价格弹性

Q3 Social Sciences
S. Auray, V. Caponi, Benoît Ravel
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引用次数: 7

摘要

竞争和气候对电力生产和消费变得越来越重要,市场经营者对电价和用电的可靠预测越来越感兴趣,以便规划其投资和调节政策。良好预测的关键是理解消费者对价格变化的反应,这是由弹性概念综合而成的。我们使用了一个独特的数据集,其中包含了法国从2007年到2015年的数百万个两年一次的电力消费电表读数,我们估计了私人家庭电力支出的价格弹性。我们提出了三个规范:一个规范是将电力消耗回归到每千瓦时的价格上,我们发现弹性等于-0.8,结果非常符合并证实了以前的文献;一个遵循Filippini(1995)的几乎理想需求系统(AIDS)模型的规范,在这个模型中,我们基本上复制了他的结果;最后,后者的扩展允许弹性取决于季节,这表明电力需求在夏季更具弹性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Price Elasticity of Electricity Demand in France
[eng] Competition and climate becoming more important for electricity production and consumption, market operators are increasingly interested in reliable forecasts of electricity prices and consumption for planning their investments and regulating policies. Key for good forecasts is understanding the consumers’ reaction to price changes, synthesized by the concept of elasticity. Using a unique dataset of millions of bi-annual meter readings of electricity consumption in France from 2007 to 2015, we estimate the price elasticity of electricity expenditure of private households. We propose three specifications: a canonical one that regresses electricity consumption on a price per kilowatt/hour, where we find an elasticity equal to -0.8, a result remarkably in line and corroborating previous literature; a specification that follows Filippini’s (1995) model of an Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), in which we substantially replicate his results; and finally, an extension of the latter that allows elasticities to be season-dependent that shows the demand of electricity being more elastic in summer.
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来源期刊
Economie et Statistique
Economie et Statistique Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
19
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