潜在的危险小行星(101955)本奴

I. Wlodarczyk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们基于1999年9月11.40624 UTC至2013年1月20.11189 UTC的569次光学观测,以及1999年9月21日至2011年9月29日的29次雷达观测,计算了潜在危险小行星(101955)Bennu的撞击解。使用免费的OrbFit软件包,我们可以在未来沿着它的轨道前进,寻找与地球的近距离接触,这可能导致到2200年的撞击。利用小行星(101955)Bennu运动中的A2非引力参数,我们使用不同的JPL行星和月球星历表以及不同数量的额外大质量摄动小行星计算了可能的撞击解决方案。给出了2175风险的可能影响路径。此外,我们利用本努天体测量观测选择的正态位法计算了可能的撞击解。此外,我们利用Yarkovsky效应计算了Bennu 5 kyr在过去和1 kyr在未来的平均轨道元和轨道节点的时间演化。我们计算了Bennu的平均运动和长期轨道共振。我们还计算了JPL行星和月球星历表DE403、DE405、DE406、DE414和DE423对小行星(101955)Bennu接近地球的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Potentially Dangerous Asteroid (101955) Bennu
We computed impact solutions of the potentially dangerous asteroid (101955) Bennu based on 569 optical observations from September 11.40624 UTC, 1999 to January 20.11189 UTC, 2013, and 29 radar observations from September 21, 1999, through September 29, 2011. Using the freely available OrbFit software package, we can follow its orbit forward in the future searching for close approaches with the earth, which can lead to possible impacts up to 2200. With the A2 nongravitational parameter in the motion of the asteroid (101955) Bennu we computed possible impact solutions using different JPL planetary and lunar ephemerides and different number of additional massive perturbed asteroids. The possible impact path of risk for 2175 is presented. Additionally, we computed possible impact solutions using the normal places method of the selection of Bennu’s astrometric observations. Moreover, we computed time evolution of the mean orbital elements and the orbital nodes of Bennu 5 kyr in the backwards and 1 kyr in the future using the Yarkovsky effects. We computed the mean motion and secular orbital resonances of the Bennu. We also computed the influence of the JPL planetary and lunar ephemerides DE403, DE405, DE406, DE414, and DE423 on the close approaches of the asteroid (101955) Bennu with the earth.
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