估计小群体的潜在婴儿死亡率,包括那些报告零婴儿死亡的人:加利福尼亚州县的案例研究

IF 0.4 Q4 DEMOGRAPHY
D. Swanson, A. Kposowa, Jack D Baker
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要:婴儿死亡率是一项重要的人口卫生统计数据,经常用于卫生政策的制定。对于少数人口来说,婴儿死亡率具有高度的不确定性,可能无法表明影响人口的"基本"死亡率制度。这种情况导致一些机构要么不报告这些人口的婴儿死亡率,要么报告按空间、时间或两者合计的婴儿死亡率。提出了一种估算反映小群体内在死亡率制度的“潜在”婴儿死亡率的方法。在一项案例研究中,对2009-2011年期间县一级无婴儿死亡报告的15个县的综合死亡率进行了估计,对该方法进行了描述和说明。我们知道,在这15个县中,州一级报告了50例婴儿死亡,但没有报告发生婴儿死亡的县。该方法的有效性是用一个模拟数据集形式的合成人口来测试的,该数据集是由一个模型生命表生成的,代表了West家庭模型生命表的第23级,包括男女。测试表明该方法能够产生表示潜在比率的估计。在这方面,这里描述的方法可能有助于产生关于少数人口健康状况的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating the Underlying Infant Mortality Rates for Small Populations, Including those Reporting Zero Infant Deaths: A Case Study of Counties in California
Abstract:Infant mortality is an important population health statistic that is often used to make health policy decisions. For a small population, an infant mortality rate is subject to high levels of uncertainty and may not indicate the “underlying” mortality regime affecting the population. This situation leads some agencies to either not report infant mortality for these populations or report infant mortality aggregated over space, time or both. A method is presented for estimating “underlying” infant mortality rates that reflect the intrinsic mortality regimes of small populations. The method is described and illustrated in a case study by estimating IMRs for the 15 counties in California where zero infant deaths are reported at the county level for the period 2009–2011. We know that among these 15 counties there are 50 infant deaths reported at the state level but not for the counties in which they occurred. The method’s validity is tested using a synthetic population in the form of a simulated data set generated from a model life table infant mortality rate, representing Level 23 of the West Family Model Life Table for both sexes. The test indicates that the method is capable of producing estimates that represent underlying rates. In this regard, the method described here may assist in the generation of information about the health status of small populations.
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来源期刊
Population Review
Population Review DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: Population Review publishes scholarly research that covers a broad range of social science disciplines, including demography, sociology, social anthropology, socioenvironmental science, communication, and political science. The journal emphasizes empirical research and strives to advance knowledge on the interrelationships between demography and sociology. The editor welcomes submissions that combine theory with solid empirical research. Articles that are of general interest to population specialists are also desired. International in scope, the journal’s focus is not limited by geography. Submissions are encouraged from scholars in both the developing and developed world. Population Review publishes original articles and book reviews. Content is published online immediately after acceptance.
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