童年时期受到市场准入冲击的长期影响:美国铁路网扩张的证据

IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Jeff Chan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我利用 1900 年至 1910 年美国铁路网的扩张以及由此产生的市场准入增加的空间变化,研究童年时期发生的经济冲击是否会对以后的生活结果产生长期影响,以及这种影响的表现渠道。我将 1900 年、1910 年和 1940 年美国人口普查中的个人联系起来,并采用工具变量策略来帮助分离市场准入的因果效应。我发现,在短期内,儿子识字的可能性较低,而且兄弟姐妹较多。从长期来看,这些儿子受良好教育的可能性更小,收入更低。本文的研究结果揭示了童年时期由铁路引发的市场准入和其他经济冲击甚至会影响个人晚年生活的机制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The long-run effects of childhood exposure to market access shocks: Evidence from the US railroad network expansion

In this paper, I use the expansion of the US railroad network from 1900 to 1910 and the resulting spatial variation in increased market access to investigate whether economic shocks that occur during childhood have long-run ramifications on later-life outcomes, and the channels through which such effects manifest. I link individuals across the 1900, 1910, and 1940 full-count US Censuses and incorporate an instrumental variable strategy to help isolate the causal effect of market access. I find that, in the short run, sons are less likely to be literate and have more siblings. In the long-run, these sons then become less likely to be well-educated and earn lower incomes. The results of this paper shed light on the mechanisms through which railroad-induced market access and other economic shocks during childhood can impact individuals even in later life.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.70%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Explorations in Economic History provides broad coverage of the application of economic analysis to historical episodes. The journal has a tradition of innovative applications of theory and quantitative techniques, and it explores all aspects of economic change, all historical periods, all geographical locations, and all political and social systems. The journal includes papers by economists, economic historians, demographers, geographers, and sociologists. Explorations in Economic History is the only journal where you will find "Essays in Exploration." This unique department alerts economic historians to the potential in a new area of research, surveying the recent literature and then identifying the most promising issues to pursue.
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