可持续发展战略构想:IPCC AR6的全球气候响应情景

Earth System Dynamics Discussions Pub Date : 2020-01-17 DOI:10.5194/esd-2019-88

R. Sutton, E. Hawkins

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引用次数: 5

摘要

摘要关于气候变化的政策制定通常采用社会经济情景来对气候系统未来强迫的不确定性进行抽样，但IPCC尚未开发出类似的离散情景来对全球气候响应的不确定性进行抽样。在这里，我们认为，为了制定强有力的政策，应该解决这一差距，我们提出了一个简单的方法。

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ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC AR6

Abstract. Policy making on climate change routinely employs socio-economic scenarios to sample the uncertainty in future forcing of the climate system, but the IPCC has not developed similar discrete scenarios to sample the uncertainty in the global climate response. Here we argue that to enable development of robust policies this gap should be addressed, and we propose a simple methodology.

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Earth System Dynamics Discussions

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