外国直接投资对发展中国家收入不平等的影响:贝叶斯方法

To Thi Hong Gam, Dao Le Kieu Oanh, Nguyen Mau Ba Dang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

一般的不平等,特别是收入不平等已经存在了很长时间,并且有日益加剧的趋势。预计外国直接投资将是有助于缓解这种情况的一个重要因素。然而,以往关于FDI对收入不平等影响的实证研究结果并没有得出一致的结论。因此,本研究评估了外国直接投资对发展中经济体收入不平等的影响。该研究通过对36个发展中国家2008年至2020年的样本数据和基于贝叶斯方法的蒙特卡罗算法提供了证据,证明这种关系是非线性的。我们记录了外国直接投资对收入不平等的u型影响。此外,贸易开放和移民等其他因素对收入不平等也有明显影响。当FDI与贸易或移民相互作用时,发现了不同的结果,这代表了影响不平等的重要渠道。根据这些结果,我们建议发展中国家的决策者应该制定适当的吸引外国直接投资的政策,鼓励贸易开放和移民,以减少收入不平等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of foreign direct investment on income inequality in developing countries: The Bayesian approach
Inequality in general and income inequality in particular have existed for a long time and tend to increase daily. Foreign direct investment (FDI) is expected to be an important factor contributing to mitigating that situation. However, the results of previous empirical studies on the impact of FDI on income inequality have not reached a consistent conclusion. Therefore, this study evaluated the impact of foreign direct investment on income inequality in developing economies. The study has provided evidence that the relationship is nonlinear through data from a sample of 36 developing countries between 2008 and 2020 and the Monte-Carlo algorithm according to the Bayesian approach. We document a U-shaped effect of FDI on income inequality. Besides, other factors, including trade openness and migration, obviously impact income inequality. Different results were found when FDI interacted with trade or migration, representing important channels through which inequality is affected. With these results, we suggest that policymakers in developing countries should develop appropriate policies on FDI attraction encourage trade openness and migration to reduce income inequality.
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