欧元区消费者价格刚性的新事实

Q4 Social Sciences
Pavlos Petroulas, E. Gautier, B. Fabo, Jan-Oliver Menz, Pau Roldan-Blanco, Elisabeth Wieland, C. Conflitti, Ludmila Fadejeva, T. Messner, F. Rumler, Hélène Zimmer, Riemer P. Faber, Valentin Jouvanceau, Sergio Santoro
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引用次数: 37

摘要

利用2010-2019年期间覆盖欧元区消费篮子约60%的11个欧元区国家的CPI微观数据,我们记录了欧元区消费者价格刚性的新发现:(i)平均每月价格变化为12.3%,而美国为19.3%;然而,当我们排除销售导致的价格变化时,每月调整的价格比例在欧元区为8.5%,而在美国为10%;(ii)欧元区国家之间的价格刚性差异相当有限,但各部门之间的差异要大得多;(iii)中位价格升幅(按如果包括销售额,则减少9.6%(13%),如果不包括销售额,则减少6.7%(8.7%)。国家间的异质性在价格变化的规模上比在价格变化的频率上更为明显;(四)价格变动分布高度分散,14%的价格变动绝对值低于2%,10%的价格变动绝对值高于20%;(v)价格变动的总体频率随通货膨胀变化不大,对总体冲击的反应也不大;通货膨胀的变动主要是由整体规模的变动所驱动;在对整体规模进行分解时,在所有变化中,价格上涨所占份额的变化比价格上涨或下跌的幅度的变化更为重要。这些发现与低通胀环境下菜单成本模型的预测是一致的,在低通胀环境下,特殊冲击比总体冲击更能推动价格调整。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
New facts on consumer price rigidity in the euro area
Using CPI micro data for 11 euro area countries covering about 60% of the euro area consumption basket over the period 2010-2019, we document new findings on consumer price rigidity in the euro area: (i) each month on average 12.3% of prices change, which compares with 19.3% in the United States; when we exclude price changes due to sales, however, the proportion of prices adjusted each month is 8.5% in the euro area versus 10% in the United States; (ii) differences in price rigidity are rather limited across euro area countries but much larger across sectors; (iii) the median price increase (resp. decrease) is 9.6% (13%) when including sales and 6.7% (8.7%) when excluding sales; cross-country heterogeneity is more pronounced for the size than for the frequency of price changes; (iv) the distribution of price changes is highly dispersed: 14% of price changes in absolute values are lower than 2% whereas 10% are above 20%; (v) the overall frequency of price changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly driven by movements in the overall size; when decomposing the overall size, changes in the share of price increases among all changes matter more than movements in the size of price increases or the size of price decreases. These findings are consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more relevant driver of price adjustment than aggregate shocks.
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来源期刊
Working Paper - Chr. Michelson Institute
Working Paper - Chr. Michelson Institute Social Sciences-Development
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