投资者情绪与资产估值

Hu Changsheng, Wang Yongfeng
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引用次数: 26

摘要

本文以中国股市数据为样本,考察了投资者情绪对资产估值的影响。为了客观地对股票进行分类,我们的样本股票采用双指标(B/M和PE)进行分类。在投资组合中,我们发现低B/M和高PE的股票对投资者情绪敏感,这被认为是套利成本高的股票。投资者情绪具有解释股票收益协同运动的增量能力,这表明当投资者看涨(看跌)时,这些股票将表现出更高(更低)的超额回报。我们的研究结果支持投资者情绪在收益形成中的作用,投资者情绪的变化应被视为资产定价和投资组合管理中的重要系统性风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investor Sentiment and Assets Valuation

Using the Chinese stock market data as sample, this paper investigates the impact of investor sentiment on the assets valuation. In order to classify stocks objectively, our sample stocks are sorted by double indicators (B/M and PE). In the portfolio, we find stocks with low B/M and high PE are sensitive to investor sentiment, which are considered to be costly to arbitrage. Investor sentiment has incremental power to explain stock return co-movements, which indicates that these stocks would perform higher (lower) excess returns when investors are bullish (bearish).Our findings support a role for investor sentiment in the formation of return and the change of investor sentiment should be taken as an important systemic risk in asset pricing and portfolio management.

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