冲突与集团间贸易:来自2014年俄乌危机的证据

IF 10.5 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

American Economic Review Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1257/aer.20191701

V. Korovkin, Alexey Makarin

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引用次数: 30

摘要

武装冲突是否会通过破坏群体间社会资本而减少贸易，甚至在非战斗地区?我们分析了2014年俄乌冲突前后的乌克兰贸易交易。在差异中的差异框架中，我们发现来自俄罗斯族人较少地区的乌克兰公司与俄罗斯的贸易下降幅度更大。这种下降在经济上是显著的、持续的，可以用群体间信任的侵蚀来解释。受影响的乌克兰公司业绩下降，并将贸易转移到其他国家。我们的研究结果表明，即使远离战区，冲突也会通过社会效应对经济造成损害。(jl d74, f14, f51, j15, p31, p33, z13)

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Conflict and Intergroup Trade: Evidence from the 2014 Russia-Ukraine Crisis

Does armed conflict reduce trade, even in noncombat areas, through the destruction of intergroup social capital? We analyze Ukrainian trade transactions before and after the 2014 Russia-Ukraine conflict. In a difference-in-differences framework, we find that Ukrainian firms from districts with fewer ethnic Russians experienced a deeper decline in trade with Russia. This decline is economically signifi-cant, persistent, and can be explained by erosion of intergroup trust. Affected Ukrainian firms suffered a decrease in performance and diverted trade to other countries. Our results suggest that, through social effects, conflict can be economically damaging even away from combat areas. (JEL D74, F14, F51, J15, P31, P33, Z13)

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来源期刊

American Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

18.60

自引率

2.80%

发文量

122

期刊介绍： The American Economic Review (AER) stands as a prestigious general-interest economics journal. Founded in 1911, it holds the distinction of being one of the nation's oldest and most esteemed scholarly journals in economics. With a commitment to academic excellence, the AER releases 12 issues annually, featuring articles that span a wide spectrum of economic topics.