1933-1938:罗斯福新政和经济大萧条

R. Bruner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1938年12月,美国总统富兰克林·d·罗斯福(Franklin D. Roosevelt)考虑了最近的挫折,这些挫折挑战了他的经济复苏计划(俗称“新政”)的可行性。罗斯福执政头三年的各种成就和失败激励了他的支持者,并激发了保守派、民粹主义者和极端主义者等形形色色的反对派——他们认为罗斯福走得太远或不够远。批评人士指责他越权,超越宪法赋予他的权力,言行不一,煽动阶级斗争,并创造了实际上阻碍经济复苏的条件。罗斯福新政的记录能否维持他在1936年大选中赢得的民众支持水平?他的政策和计划是否促进了经济复苏?他应该从失败中吸取什么教训?在进入大选年之际,他应该在他的计划和政治上做出哪些改变?他是应该加倍推进他的进步议程,还是改弦更张?1933-1938:新政和大萧条1938年底,美国总统富兰克林·d·罗斯福(Franklin D. Roosevelt)考虑到最近的政治挫折,这些挫折似乎注定了他的政治计划,俗称“新政”。罗斯福新政的广度和影响都是前所未有的,它是历史上公民对经济危机做出的最积极的反应。事实证明,它是最两极分化的。在罗斯福执政的头五年里,各种成就和失败激励了他的支持者,并激发了保守派、民粹主义者、社会主义者、共产主义者、孤立主义者和极端主义者等形形色色的反对派——他们都认为罗斯福走得太远或不够远。批评人士指责他超越了宪法赋予他的权力,前后不一,进行阶级斗争,并创造了实际上阻碍复苏的条件。尽管如此,在1936年,选民们还是以60.8%的压倒性优势让罗斯福连任。在这种势头的基础上,罗斯福试图维持他“大胆而持久的实验”的改革政策,结果却在1938年的中期选举中遭遇了越来越多的阻力和政治上的羞辱。到年底,罗斯福发现新政已经失去了动力,国际紧张局势的加剧将需要国家更多的关注和资源。在1939年1月4日的国情咨文草稿中,他计划“向国会提出国外动乱的建议,并在面对来自大洋彼岸的风暴信号时,把我们自己的房子整理好”,并将“我们国家的社会和经济改革计划降级为……国防的一部分”——从而标志着优先事项和政策的重大转变... .
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1933–1938: The New Deal and the Great Depression
In December 1938, US president Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR) contemplated recent setbacks that challenged the viability of his program of economic recovery, popularly called the “New Deal.” Various achievements and defeats in the first three years of his administration energized his supporters and galvanized a diverse opposition of conservatives, populists, and extremists—who believed FDR had gone too far or not far enough. Critics accused him of overreach of powers beyond his constitutional authority, of inconsistency, of inciting class warfare, and of creating conditions that actually retarded recovery. Would the record of the New Deal sustain the level of popular support that he won in the election of 1936? Had his policies and programs promoted economic recovery? What lessons should he learn from his defeats? What changes should he make in his programs and politics as he entered the election year? Should he double down on his progressive agenda or change course? Excerpt UVA-F-1951 Jun. 30, 2020 1933–1938: The New Deal and the Great Depression In late 1938, US President Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR) contemplated recent political setbacks that appeared to doom his political program, popularly called the “New Deal.” A program of unprecedented breadth and impact, the New Deal stood out as the most aggressive civic reaction to an economic crisis in history. And it proved to be among the most polarizing. Various achievements and defeats in the first five years of FDR's administration energized his supporters and galvanized a diverse opposition of conservatives, populists, socialists, communists, isolationists, and extremists—all of whom believed FDR had gone too far or not far enough. Critics accused him of overreach of powers beyond his constitutional authority, of inconsistency, of class warfare, and of creating conditions that actually retarded recovery. Nevertheless, voters had returned FDR to a second term in office with a thumping majority of 60.8% in 1936 (see Exhibit1). On the basis of that momentum, FDR had sought to sustain his reform policies of “bold, persistent experimentation,” only to confront rising resistance and political humiliation in the midterm elections of 1938. By year-end, FDR saw that the New Deal had lost its momentum and that rising international tensions would command more of the nation's attention and resources. In his draft State of the Union Address for January 4, 1939, he planned to “advise the congress of disturbance abroad and of the need of putting our own house in order in the face of storm signals from across the seas” and to relegate “our nation's program of social and economic reform [to]…a part of defense”—thus marking a major shift in priorities and policies. . . .
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