Risk identification for the development of large-artery vasospasm after aneurysmatic subarachnoid hemorrhage - a multivariate, risk-, and location-adjusted prediction model.

Background: Vasospasm of the large cerebral arteries (CVS) after aneurysmatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) reduces cerebral perfusion and causes delayed cerebral ischemia. Although endovascular spasmolysis shows convincing angiographic results, patients often do not improve in outcome. Delayed recognition of CVS contributes substantially to this effect. Therefore, this study aimed to confirm established and to identify unknown risk factors for CVS, which can be used for risk stratification.

Methods: In this monocentric, retrospective cohort study of 853 patients with aSAH, we compared demographics, clinical, and radiographic parameters at the time of aneurysm occlusion between patients who developed CVS and those who did not. Significant cohort differences were included as predictors in a multivariate analysis to address confounding. Logistic regression models were used to determine odds ratios (ORs) for the presence of CVS for each predictor.

Results: Of the 853 patients treated with aSAH, 304 (32%) developed CVS. In the univariable analysis, CVS was significantly associated with young age, female sex, aneurysm location, modified Fisher score, Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) score, and surgical interventions. In the multivariable regression analysis, we identified BNI score (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.58, p=0.002), decompressive craniectomy (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.22 to 3.04, p=0.005), and aneurysm clipping (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.50 to 3.29, p<0.001), as independent risk factors.

Conclusions: Young female patients with high BNI scores who undergo surgical interventions are more likely to develop CVS and should therefore be monitored most intensively after aneurysm occlusion.