太阳和地磁活动对全球地表温度的影响

M. A. El-Borie, M. Abd-Elzaher, A. Shenawy
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引用次数: 8

摘要

一个明显的事实是,自前工业化时代以来,地球的气候一直在变化,尤其是在过去的三十年里。这种变化通常归因于两个主要因素:温室气体(GHGs)和太阳活动变化。然而,这些因素并非完全独立。此外,上述因素的贡献仍然存在争议。本文的目的是研究在较长时间(1880-2011)内,全球表面温度变化(GST)与以太阳黑子数(Rz)和地磁指数(aa, Kp)为代表的太阳地磁活动因子之间的关系,以及它们之间的联系程度。地磁对全球地表温度的影响比太阳活动更大。此外,全球地表温度对在地磁和太阳黑子光谱中观测到的21.3年、10.6年和5.3年的变化非常敏感。目前地球磁场的变化可能部分反映未来全球表面温度的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Effects on Global Surface Temperatures
It is a clear fact that the Earth's climate has been changing since the pre-industrial era, especially during the last three decades. This change is generally attributed to two main factors: greenhouse gases (GHGs) and solar activ ity changes. However, these factors are not all-independent. Furthermore, contributions of the above-mentioned factors are still d isputed. The aim of th is paper is relation in the longer t ime (1880-2011), between changer of g lobal surface temperature (GST), and solar geomagnetic activ ist represented by sunspot number (Rz) and geomagnetic indices (aa , Kp ), and to what degree they are connected. The geomagnetics aa are more effect ive on global surface temperature than solar activity. Furthermore, the global surface temperature are strongly sensitive to the 21.3-yr, 10.6-yr, and 5.3-yr variations that observed in the considered geomagnetic and sunspot spectra. The present changes in aa geo magnetics may reflect part ially some future changes in the global surface temperatures.
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