从1939年到1950年观测到的与大气CO2浓度下降有关的全球温度异常

IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE
R. Werner, V. Guineva
{"title":"从1939年到1950年观测到的与大气CO2浓度下降有关的全球温度异常","authors":"R. Werner, V. Guineva","doi":"10.3897/arb.v31.e04","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"It is very well known that carbon dioxide (CO2) accumulated in the atmosphere is the main climate driver. The first precise direct continuous measurements of the atmospheric CO2concentration were provided from Keeling since 1958 at Mauna Loa Observatory. The measurements are going on up to day. Law Dom ice core drilling was started in 1969 by the Australian ANARE program. The slowdown of the World economic development during the World War I, the Great Depression and the World War II, lead to deaccelerating the CO2 emissions. The integration of the total CO2emissions using the impulse response function concept shows that the observed slowdown of the CO2 emission is not sufficient to explain the CO2 plateau and additional CO2 sinks are necessary. Based on multiple regression models adjusted global temperatures were determined by removal of temperature influences other than related to CO2. The adjusted temperatures follow close the CO2 radiation term. The difference between the estimated adjusted temperature time evolution with and without the CO2 slowdown and also the short time trends demonstrate very clear the close relation between the temperature change and the CO2 radiative forcing. It is shown that the slowdown of the CO2 emission in the period from 1939 up to 1950 and the related CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, caused at least partially by human activities, generate a more slow increase of the temperature anomalies. Consequently CO2 is the leading variable of the relation surface temperature - CO2.","PeriodicalId":40457,"journal":{"name":"Aerospace Research in Bulgaria","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2019-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The global temperature anomalies related to the slowdown of atmospheric CO2 concentration observed from 1939 up to 1950\",\"authors\":\"R. Werner, V. Guineva\",\"doi\":\"10.3897/arb.v31.e04\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"It is very well known that carbon dioxide (CO2) accumulated in the atmosphere is the main climate driver. The first precise direct continuous measurements of the atmospheric CO2concentration were provided from Keeling since 1958 at Mauna Loa Observatory. The measurements are going on up to day. Law Dom ice core drilling was started in 1969 by the Australian ANARE program. The slowdown of the World economic development during the World War I, the Great Depression and the World War II, lead to deaccelerating the CO2 emissions. The integration of the total CO2emissions using the impulse response function concept shows that the observed slowdown of the CO2 emission is not sufficient to explain the CO2 plateau and additional CO2 sinks are necessary. Based on multiple regression models adjusted global temperatures were determined by removal of temperature influences other than related to CO2. The adjusted temperatures follow close the CO2 radiation term. The difference between the estimated adjusted temperature time evolution with and without the CO2 slowdown and also the short time trends demonstrate very clear the close relation between the temperature change and the CO2 radiative forcing. It is shown that the slowdown of the CO2 emission in the period from 1939 up to 1950 and the related CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, caused at least partially by human activities, generate a more slow increase of the temperature anomalies. Consequently CO2 is the leading variable of the relation surface temperature - CO2.\",\"PeriodicalId\":40457,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Aerospace Research in Bulgaria\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Aerospace Research in Bulgaria\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3897/arb.v31.e04\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Aerospace Research in Bulgaria","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3897/arb.v31.e04","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

众所周知,大气中积累的二氧化碳(CO2)是主要的气候驱动因素。自1958年以来,基林莫纳罗亚天文台首次提供了对大气二氧化碳浓度的精确直接连续测量。测量一直持续到今天。劳多姆冰芯钻探始于1969年澳大利亚ANARE项目。在第一次世界大战、大萧条和第二次世界大战期间,世界经济发展的放缓导致了二氧化碳排放的减缓。利用脉冲响应函数概念对CO2排放总量进行积分表明,观测到的CO2排放减缓不足以解释CO2平台,需要额外的CO2汇。基于多元回归模型,通过去除与CO2无关的温度影响来确定调整后的全球温度。调整后的温度紧跟CO2辐射项。在CO2减缓作用下和不减缓作用下的调整后温度时间演变和短时间变化趋势之间的差异非常清楚地表明温度变化与CO2辐射强迫之间的密切关系。结果表明,1939 ~ 1950年期间CO2排放的减缓以及与之相关的大气CO2浓度(至少部分由人类活动引起)使温度异常的增加更为缓慢。因此,CO2是表面温度- CO2关系的首要变量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The global temperature anomalies related to the slowdown of atmospheric CO2 concentration observed from 1939 up to 1950
It is very well known that carbon dioxide (CO2) accumulated in the atmosphere is the main climate driver. The first precise direct continuous measurements of the atmospheric CO2concentration were provided from Keeling since 1958 at Mauna Loa Observatory. The measurements are going on up to day. Law Dom ice core drilling was started in 1969 by the Australian ANARE program. The slowdown of the World economic development during the World War I, the Great Depression and the World War II, lead to deaccelerating the CO2 emissions. The integration of the total CO2emissions using the impulse response function concept shows that the observed slowdown of the CO2 emission is not sufficient to explain the CO2 plateau and additional CO2 sinks are necessary. Based on multiple regression models adjusted global temperatures were determined by removal of temperature influences other than related to CO2. The adjusted temperatures follow close the CO2 radiation term. The difference between the estimated adjusted temperature time evolution with and without the CO2 slowdown and also the short time trends demonstrate very clear the close relation between the temperature change and the CO2 radiative forcing. It is shown that the slowdown of the CO2 emission in the period from 1939 up to 1950 and the related CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, caused at least partially by human activities, generate a more slow increase of the temperature anomalies. Consequently CO2 is the leading variable of the relation surface temperature - CO2.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Aerospace Research in Bulgaria
Aerospace Research in Bulgaria ENGINEERING, AEROSPACE-
自引率
33.30%
发文量
17
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信