应对COVID-19的经济政策和国内旅行支出:国际证据

IF 1.4 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM
A. Arjomandi, Hassan F. Gholipour, Hassan Eshaghi Kenari, C. Hall, Siamak Seyfi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为应对新冠肺炎大流行带来的前所未有的情况,各国政府实施了各种政策,以减少疫情造成的严重经济损失,并试图控制疫情。这些政策的总体目标是在许多领域启动由国内主导的复苏。本研究考察了各国政府为应对这一流行病而采取的不同类型的财政措施与2020年国内旅行支出增长之间的关系。利用来自76个国家的数据,并应用OLS估计器和2SLS回归(减轻了潜在的内生性问题),该研究表明,政府的额外支出和减税(特别是在非卫生部门)对国内旅游目的地支出的增加作出了积极贡献。在那些非常依赖旅游业的国家也发现了类似的结果。我们的研究结果为凯恩斯理论的预测提供了实证支持,即政府支出和减税在短期内对家庭消费行为的影响,特别是在经济压力和不确定时期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ECONOMIC POLICY RESPONSES TO COVID-19 AND EXPENDITURES ON DOMESTIC TRAVEL: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
In response to the unprecedented circumstances resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, various national government policies were implemented to reduce the serious economic damage caused by the pandemic and attempts to control it. These policies generally aimed to kick-start domestic-led recoveries in many sectors. This study examines how different types of fiscal measures adopted by governments in response to this pandemic are associated with the growth of expenditure on domestic travel in 2020. Utilising data from 76 countries and applying OLS estimator and 2SLS regression (which mitigates the potential endogeneity problem), the study shows that governments’ additional spending and tax reductions (especially in non-health sectors) positively contributed to rising expenditure in domestic travel destinations. Similar results are found for countries which are very reliant on tourism. Our findings lend empirical support for Keynesian theory’s prediction concerning the effect of government spending and tax reduction on household consumption behaviour in the short run, particularly during periods of economic stress and uncertainty.
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来源期刊
Tourism Analysis
Tourism Analysis HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
11.10%
发文量
42
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