确定俄罗斯天然气市场发展的趋势

N. Allayarova, B. I. Ketsba
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与取消垄断有关的天然气部门运作条件自由化的新“驱动力”,以及形成具有高水平竞争和俄罗斯消费者天然气贸易组织公平原则的国内天然气市场的有效结构,是全球能源市场经济形势的持续变化。在对欧洲的管道天然气出口预计下降的背景下(中期下降量可能达到1000亿立方米),重要的是集中精力发展国内天然气市场,因为在这种情况下,任务比以往任何时候都更加紧迫。首先,加速向市场定价机制过渡(人口除外),在证券交易所和燃料间竞争框架内采用指示价格。目前,国内市场的天然气价格是由出口补贴的,如上所述,出口补贴将会减少,这反过来又会导致补贴减少,因此,国内市场将需要更高的价格增长率。在各种政府平台上强调了进一步发展俄罗斯天然气交易所交易的重要性。完善天然气销售交换机制的主要指导方针载于“俄罗斯联邦2021-2025年竞争发展国家计划(路线图)”。应当指出,天然气交易所交易的发展应通过增加对参与者的经济吸引力、创造有利的经济条件先决条件,为所有卖方向交易所提供平等的天然气供应,以及制定适当的管理框架来实现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Defining trends in the evolution of the Russian gas market
The new “driving force” of the liberalization of the conditions for the functioning of the gas sector associated with demonopolization and the formation of an effective structure of the domestic gas market with a high level of competition and fair principles of the organization of natural gas trade for Russian consumers are the ongoing changes in the economic situation in the global energy market. Against the background of the expected decline in pipeline gas exports to Europe (the volume of decline may amount to 100 billion cubic meters in the medium term) it is important to focus efforts on the development of the domestic gas market, since the task in these conditions is more urgent than ever. First of all, to accelerate the transition to market pricing mechanisms (except for the population) using indicative prices on the stock exchange and within the framework of inter-fuel competition. Currently, gas prices in the domestic market are subsidized by exports, which, as mentioned above, is going to decrease, which in turn will lead to a decrease in such subsidies, and accordingly, there will be a need for higher rates of price growth in the domestic market. The importance of further development of gas exchange trading in Russia is emphasized on various government platforms. The main guidelines for improving the exchange mechanisms for the sale of natural gas are contained in the “National Plan (Roadmap) for the development of competition in the Russian Federation for 2021-2025”. It should be noted that the development of gas exchange trading should take place by increasing the economic attractiveness for participants, creating favorable economically conditioned prerequisites for an equal supply of gas to the exchange for all sellers, as well as developing an appropriate regulatory framework.
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