俄罗斯已婚男性的劳动供给弹性

A. Zamnius, A. Polbin, S. Sinelnikov-Murylev
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了估计俄罗斯的劳动力供给弹性,我们采用了基于[Altonji, 1986;Kimmel, Kniesner, 1998],这使得人们可以通过估计边际替代率方程来获得计算Marshallian, Hicksian和Frisch劳动供给弹性所需的效用函数的结构参数值。使用五步估计程序,我们消除了估计偏差的重要来源:测量误差,选择偏差,工资和消费与未观察到的消费和休闲偏好的相关性。本文基于俄罗斯已婚男性的RLMS-HSE微观数据,对2000-2018年俄罗斯劳动力供给函数进行了计量分析。分析表明,俄罗斯男性的工资率正在以下降的速度增长。此外,通货膨胀的增长减少了消费者在非耐用品上的支出,这可能是由于个人对未来收入的不确定性增加的反应,表现为消费倾向的减少和储蓄的增加,这被称为预防动机。对工作时间方程的估计表明,与过渡性工资冲击相比,俄罗斯经济中男性的劳动力供给对永久性工资冲击的反应较弱。此外,应对负的永久性冲击的工作时间变化是正的,表明收入效应优于替代效应。根据所进行的计算,获得了沿男性密集边际的Frisch (0,139), Hicksian(0,119)和Marshallian(-0,029)劳动力供给弹性的估计。计算出的弹性可用于评价各种税收政策措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Labor Supply Elasticity for Married Men in Russia
In order to estimate the elasticity of labor supply in Russia, we use an estimation approach based on the works of [Altonji, 1986; Kimmel, Kniesner, 1998], which allows one to obtain the values of the structural parameters of the utility function needed to calculate the Marshallian, Hicksian, and Frisch labor supply elasticities by estimating the marginal rate of substitution equation. Using a five-step estimation procedure we eliminate the important sources of estimation bias: measurement errors, selection bias, correlation of wages and consumption with unobserved preferences for consumption and leisure. The paper provides an econometric analysis of the labor supply function in Russia for the period 2000–2018 based on RLMS–HSE microdata for married men. The analysis indicates that wage rates for men in Russia are increasing at a decreasing rate. In addition, grow in inflation reduces consumer spending on non-durable goods, which may be due to the reaction of individuals to an increasing level of uncertainty in future income, ex-pressing in decreased propensity to consume and increased savings, which is referred to as the precautionary motive. Estimates of the hours worked equation show that the labor supply of men in the Russian economy reacts weakly to permanent wage shocks, in contrast to transitive ones. Moreover, the change in hours worked in response to a negative permanent shock is posi-tive, indicating that the income effect prevails over the substitution effect. Based on the calcula-tions performed, estimates of Frisch (0,139), Hicksian (0,119) and Marshallian (–0,029) labor supply elasticities along the intensive margin for men were obtained. The calculated elasticities can be used in evaluating various tax policy measures.
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来源期刊
HSE Economic Journal
HSE Economic Journal Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: The HSE Economic Journal publishes refereed papers both in Russian and English. It has perceived better understanding of the market economy, the Russian one in particular, since being established in 1997. It disseminated new and diverse ideas on economic theory and practice, economic modeling, applied mathematical and statistical methods. Its Editorial Board and Council consist of prominent Russian and foreign researchers whose activity has fostered integration of the world scientific community. The target audience comprises researches, university professors and graduate students. Submitted papers should match JEL classification and can cover country specific or international economic issues, in various areas, such as micro- and macroeconomics, econometrics, economic policy, labor markets, social policy. Apart from supporting high quality economic research and academic discussion the Editorial Board sees its mission in searching for the new authors with original ideas. The journal follows international reviewing practices – at present submitted papers are subject to single blind review of two reviewers. The journal stands for meeting the highest standards of publication ethics.
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