公众眼中:20世纪的火山学和气候变化研究

Matthias Döörries
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引用次数: 14

摘要

20世纪火山作用与气候变化研究领域的兴起有三个因素:以大型火山喷发为形式的触发事件,引起了科学界和公众的关注(Katmai[1912]、Agung[1963]、Mount St. Helens[1980]、El Chichoon[1982]、Pinatubo [1991]);由热日计、探空仪、计算机和卫星等仪器获得的长期全球数据的可获得性,从而可以进行概括和理论上的考虑;以及重大的科学和公众辩论,都为这一主题赋予了重要地位。这些因素中的任何一个单独都是不够的;新的研究对象只是从自然中的任意事件、全球影响的标准化测量和公众需求的特定而不一定同时的组合中出现的。后者包括许多方面,从围绕冰河期原因的辩论开始,演变为关于人为气候变化的环境讨论,涵盖了一系列世界末日情景,指出了地球上人类存在的脆弱性,包括1950年代和1960年代大气氢弹试验的可能影响,苏联和美国之间核战争的环境和人类后果,以及人为气候变化。迄今为止,该研究领域的现有历史陈述完全是由科学家自己撰写的。本文在将火山活动和气候变化领域的研究置于其更大的社会和政治历史范围内的同时,批判性地考察了这些说法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
In the public eye: Volcanology and climate change studies in the 20th century
ABSTRACT Three factors furthered the emergence of the field of volcanism and climate change in the 20th century: trigger events in the form of major volcanic eruptions, which attracted scientific and public attention (Katmai [1912], Agung [1963], Mount St. Helens [1980], El Chichoon [1982], Pinatubo [1991]); the availability of long-term global data obtained by instruments including pyrheliometers, sondes, computers, and satellites, which allowed generalizations and theoretical considerations; and major scientific and public debates that assigned an important place to the theme. No one of these factors alone would have been sufficient; the new object of research emerged only from a specific but not necessarily simultaneous combination of arbitrary events in nature, standardized measurements of global reach, and public demand. The latter comprised many aspects, beginning with the debate around the cause of the ice ages, mutating into an environmental discussion of man-made climate change covering a spectrum of apocalyptic scenarios that pointed up the fragility of human existence on earth, including the possible impact of atmospheric H-bomb tests during the 1950s and 1960s, the environmental and human consequences of a nuclear war between the USSR and the United States, and anthropogenic climate change. Existing historical representations of the research field have so far been written exclusively by scientists themselves. This paper critically examines these accounts while placing the research on the field of volcanism and climate change within its larger social and political history.
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