天气和气候变化的病理历史:承诺和炒作的三个周期

J. Fleming
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引用次数: 71

摘要

天气和气候变化的曲折历史显示出少许的希望和过度的炒作。本文考察了两个完整的历史周期:第一个周期始于1839年,涉及西方专有的人工降雨或“养雨”;第二个周期始于1946年至1978年,涉及“人工降雨”、“商业人工降雨”和试图将云武器化。最近,关于天气和气候变化的讨论又回到了科学政策议程上,被框定为对致命风暴和全球变暖似乎不可避免的回应。然而,企图“控制”自然的欺骗和妄想的长期历史,对这些选择的合理性提出了严重的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The pathological history of weather and climate modification: Three cycles of promise and hype
ABSTRACT The checkered history of weather and climate modification exhibits a modicum of promise and an excess of hype. This paper examines two completed historical cycles: the first, dating from 1839, involved western proprietary rainmaking or ““pluviculture;”” the second, from 1946 to 1978 involved ““cloud seeding,”” commercial rainmaking, and the attempted weaponization of the clouds. Recently, discussion of weather and climate modification has returned to the science-policy agenda, framed as seemingly inevitable responses to killer storms and global warming. The long history of deceptive and delusional attempts to ““control”” nature, however, raised serious questions about the rationality of these options.
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