STEVEN DOBEY, DARRIN V. MASTERS, BRIAN K. SCHEICK, JOSEPH D. CLARK, MICHAEL R. PELTON, MELVIN E. SUNQUIST
{"title":"奥克芬诺基-奥西奥拉生态系统中佛罗里达黑熊的生态学","authors":"STEVEN DOBEY, DARRIN V. MASTERS, BRIAN K. SCHEICK, JOSEPH D. CLARK, MICHAEL R. PELTON, MELVIN E. SUNQUIST","doi":"10.2193/0084-0173(2005)158[1:EOFBBI]2.0.CO;2","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><b>Abstract: </b> The population status of the Florida black bear (<i>Ursus americanus floridanus</i>) is problematic within many portions of its range and its potential listing as a federally threatened species has been the subject of legal debate. We studied Florida black bears in 2 areas in the Okefenokee-Osceola ecosystem in southeast Georgia (i.e., Okefenokee) and north Florida (i.e., Osceola) from 1995 to 1999 to evaluate relationships between population characteristics, habitat conditions, and human activities. Bears in Okefenokee were hunted and those in Osceola were not. We captured 205 different black bears (124M:81F) 345 times from June 1995 to September 1998. We obtained 13,573 radiolocations from 87 (16M:71F) individual bears during the study.</p><p>In Okefenokee, black gum (<i>Nyssa sylvatica</i>) and saw palmetto (<i>Serenoa repens</i>) fruits were the most important foods for bears based on scat analysis. In Osceola, corn from white-tailed deer (<i>Odocoileus virginianus</i>) feeders was the most stable food source but saw palmetto was heavily used when available. Corn from deer feeders was not available in Okefenokee. Adult bears in Osceola were 29% heavier than those in Okefenokee (<i>t</i><sub>82</sub> = 3.55, <i>P</i> < 0.001).</p><p>The mean annual home-range size for Osceola females (x = 30.3 km<sup>2</sup> ± 4.0 [SE], <i>n</i> = 53) varied little seasonally or annually and was almost half that of Okefenokee females (55.9 km<sup>2</sup> ± 6.9, <i>n</i> = 69; <i>Z</i> = −2.47, <i>P</i> = 0.014). In contrast, radiocollared females in Okefenokee expanded their home ranges during years of poor black gum production. That expansion was most apparent between autumn 1998 and 1999, when mean home-range size for Okefenokee females increased from 14.5 km<sup>2</sup> to 78.4 km<sup>2</sup>, respectively, and included a larger proportion of upland areas open to sport hunting. As a result, 5 females were harvested in the Okefenokee study area during the 1999 bear hunting season compared with only 7 harvested from 1996 to 1998.</p><p>Home ranges of adult female bears were located in areas with disproportionately high loblolly bay (<i>Gordonia lasianthus</i>) and gum-bay-cypress (<i>Taxodium</i> spp.) vegetation associations in Okefenokee and gum-bay-cypress associations in Osceola. The pine vegetation association ranked lower than most other associations within the home ranges of bears in both study areas even though much of the summer and autumn diets of bears included food items found almost exclusively in pine.</p><p>Sixteen mortalities of radiocollared bears were documented in Okefenokee; hunting accounted for 11 (68.8%) of these deaths. The annual survival rate of radiocollared males in Okefenokee was 0.71 (95% CI = 0.53-0.88) whereas survival of females in Okefenokee was higher (<i>Z</i> = 18.87, <i>P</i> < 0.001) at 0.89 (95% CI = 0.83-0.95). The survival rate for females in Osceola was 0.97 (95% CI = 0.92-1.00). Overall, 67 bears (51M:16F) were killed by hunters in the Okefenokee study area from 1995 to 1999. Based on all radiocollared bears in Okefenokee, many of which resided within areas closed to hunting, we estimated an annual harvest rate of 0.22 (95% CI = 0.03-0.37) for males and 0.07 (95% CI = 0.01-0.12) for females. When we excluded those bears that were not in areas open to hunting, however, the annual harvest rate rose to 0.37 (95% CI = 0.07-0.58) for males and 0.39 (95% CI = 0.09-0.58) for females.</p><p>Following a black gum shortage in autumn 1995, only 1 of 15 radiocollared females in Okefenokee produced cubs in winter 1996. That low reproductive rate was in contrast to winter 1997, which followed heavy black gum production, when 21 of 22 radiocollared females produced cubs. Reproductive output was more consistent in the Osceola study area, with 46 cubs being produced from 8, 5, and 9 litters in 1997, 1998, and 1999, respectively.</p><p>To estimate population size, we maintained 88 and 94 barbed-wire hair traps during 1999 in the Okefenokee and Osceola study areas, respectively. Using DNA collected at the hair traps, mark-recapture models produced estimates of 71 bears (95% CI = 59–91) in Okefenokee and 44 bears (95% CI = 40–57) in the Osceola study area during 1999. The estimated densities in the Okefenokee and Osceola study areas were 0.12 and 0.14 bears/km<sup>2</sup>, respectively. Alternative density estimates based on the amount of time bears spent within study area boundaries were similar (0.11 and 0.14 bears/km<sup>2</sup> on Okefenokee and Osceola, respectively).</p><p>We used a population model to estimate the effect of harvest in the Okefenokee bear population. Excluding harvest, bears at Osceola experienced higher average annual population growth (Λ = 1.184 ± 0.002) than those at Okefenokee (1.064 ± 0.002; <i>t</i><sub>18</sub> = 3.93, <i>P</i> = 0.001), most likely due to protection from hunting and higher recruitment. Including the effects of emigration and immigration, we estimated an average annual sustainable harvest at Okefenokee of approximately 9 bears (12.6%), which was slightly less than the average 1995–1999 annual harvest of 9.4. That level of hunting in Okefenokee is sustainable but likely represents the highest exploitation rate in the region. Our mark-recapture data from Osceola suggest a high dispersal rate by subadult bears, and our population modeling data support this hypothesis; we documented bears in Okefenokee that originated from Osceola but not the reverse. We speculate that bears from the interior of the Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge (ONWR), and to some extent northern Florida, served as a source to the population sink caused by hunting mortality in Okefenokee and in the surrounding Georgia counties.</p><p>Corn from deer feeders was the most probable reason for smaller home-range sizes and greater body masses and reproductive output at Osceola. Changes in management to eliminate or reduce baiting for deer with corn would negatively affect the Osceola bear population. On Okefenokee, sporadic black gum and palmetto production influenced harvest rates and cub production and, thus, governed bear population dynamics.</p><p>The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) concluded in 1998 that listing the Florida black bear as threatened under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 was not warranted. That decision was largely based on the stability and protection afforded to a few subpopulations within the range of the subspecies, which includes the Okefenokee-Osceola subpopulation; our results support that conclusion. However, we suggest that metapopulation processes among the various subpopulations be given greater consideration, with the ultimate goal of managing the subspecies as a unit rather than as an assemblage of independent components. Our study illustrates the importance of travel corridors for maintaining metapopulation processes.</p>","PeriodicalId":235,"journal":{"name":"Wildlife Monographs","volume":"158 1","pages":"1-41"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3000,"publicationDate":"2010-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.2193/0084-0173(2005)158[1:EOFBBI]2.0.CO;2","citationCount":"78","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Ecology of Florida Black Bears in the Okefenokee-Osceola Ecosystem\",\"authors\":\"STEVEN DOBEY, DARRIN V. MASTERS, BRIAN K. SCHEICK, JOSEPH D. CLARK, MICHAEL R. PELTON, MELVIN E. SUNQUIST\",\"doi\":\"10.2193/0084-0173(2005)158[1:EOFBBI]2.0.CO;2\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><b>Abstract: </b> The population status of the Florida black bear (<i>Ursus americanus floridanus</i>) is problematic within many portions of its range and its potential listing as a federally threatened species has been the subject of legal debate. We studied Florida black bears in 2 areas in the Okefenokee-Osceola ecosystem in southeast Georgia (i.e., Okefenokee) and north Florida (i.e., Osceola) from 1995 to 1999 to evaluate relationships between population characteristics, habitat conditions, and human activities. Bears in Okefenokee were hunted and those in Osceola were not. We captured 205 different black bears (124M:81F) 345 times from June 1995 to September 1998. We obtained 13,573 radiolocations from 87 (16M:71F) individual bears during the study.</p><p>In Okefenokee, black gum (<i>Nyssa sylvatica</i>) and saw palmetto (<i>Serenoa repens</i>) fruits were the most important foods for bears based on scat analysis. In Osceola, corn from white-tailed deer (<i>Odocoileus virginianus</i>) feeders was the most stable food source but saw palmetto was heavily used when available. Corn from deer feeders was not available in Okefenokee. Adult bears in Osceola were 29% heavier than those in Okefenokee (<i>t</i><sub>82</sub> = 3.55, <i>P</i> < 0.001).</p><p>The mean annual home-range size for Osceola females (x = 30.3 km<sup>2</sup> ± 4.0 [SE], <i>n</i> = 53) varied little seasonally or annually and was almost half that of Okefenokee females (55.9 km<sup>2</sup> ± 6.9, <i>n</i> = 69; <i>Z</i> = −2.47, <i>P</i> = 0.014). In contrast, radiocollared females in Okefenokee expanded their home ranges during years of poor black gum production. That expansion was most apparent between autumn 1998 and 1999, when mean home-range size for Okefenokee females increased from 14.5 km<sup>2</sup> to 78.4 km<sup>2</sup>, respectively, and included a larger proportion of upland areas open to sport hunting. As a result, 5 females were harvested in the Okefenokee study area during the 1999 bear hunting season compared with only 7 harvested from 1996 to 1998.</p><p>Home ranges of adult female bears were located in areas with disproportionately high loblolly bay (<i>Gordonia lasianthus</i>) and gum-bay-cypress (<i>Taxodium</i> spp.) vegetation associations in Okefenokee and gum-bay-cypress associations in Osceola. The pine vegetation association ranked lower than most other associations within the home ranges of bears in both study areas even though much of the summer and autumn diets of bears included food items found almost exclusively in pine.</p><p>Sixteen mortalities of radiocollared bears were documented in Okefenokee; hunting accounted for 11 (68.8%) of these deaths. The annual survival rate of radiocollared males in Okefenokee was 0.71 (95% CI = 0.53-0.88) whereas survival of females in Okefenokee was higher (<i>Z</i> = 18.87, <i>P</i> < 0.001) at 0.89 (95% CI = 0.83-0.95). The survival rate for females in Osceola was 0.97 (95% CI = 0.92-1.00). Overall, 67 bears (51M:16F) were killed by hunters in the Okefenokee study area from 1995 to 1999. Based on all radiocollared bears in Okefenokee, many of which resided within areas closed to hunting, we estimated an annual harvest rate of 0.22 (95% CI = 0.03-0.37) for males and 0.07 (95% CI = 0.01-0.12) for females. When we excluded those bears that were not in areas open to hunting, however, the annual harvest rate rose to 0.37 (95% CI = 0.07-0.58) for males and 0.39 (95% CI = 0.09-0.58) for females.</p><p>Following a black gum shortage in autumn 1995, only 1 of 15 radiocollared females in Okefenokee produced cubs in winter 1996. That low reproductive rate was in contrast to winter 1997, which followed heavy black gum production, when 21 of 22 radiocollared females produced cubs. Reproductive output was more consistent in the Osceola study area, with 46 cubs being produced from 8, 5, and 9 litters in 1997, 1998, and 1999, respectively.</p><p>To estimate population size, we maintained 88 and 94 barbed-wire hair traps during 1999 in the Okefenokee and Osceola study areas, respectively. Using DNA collected at the hair traps, mark-recapture models produced estimates of 71 bears (95% CI = 59–91) in Okefenokee and 44 bears (95% CI = 40–57) in the Osceola study area during 1999. The estimated densities in the Okefenokee and Osceola study areas were 0.12 and 0.14 bears/km<sup>2</sup>, respectively. Alternative density estimates based on the amount of time bears spent within study area boundaries were similar (0.11 and 0.14 bears/km<sup>2</sup> on Okefenokee and Osceola, respectively).</p><p>We used a population model to estimate the effect of harvest in the Okefenokee bear population. Excluding harvest, bears at Osceola experienced higher average annual population growth (Λ = 1.184 ± 0.002) than those at Okefenokee (1.064 ± 0.002; <i>t</i><sub>18</sub> = 3.93, <i>P</i> = 0.001), most likely due to protection from hunting and higher recruitment. Including the effects of emigration and immigration, we estimated an average annual sustainable harvest at Okefenokee of approximately 9 bears (12.6%), which was slightly less than the average 1995–1999 annual harvest of 9.4. That level of hunting in Okefenokee is sustainable but likely represents the highest exploitation rate in the region. Our mark-recapture data from Osceola suggest a high dispersal rate by subadult bears, and our population modeling data support this hypothesis; we documented bears in Okefenokee that originated from Osceola but not the reverse. We speculate that bears from the interior of the Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge (ONWR), and to some extent northern Florida, served as a source to the population sink caused by hunting mortality in Okefenokee and in the surrounding Georgia counties.</p><p>Corn from deer feeders was the most probable reason for smaller home-range sizes and greater body masses and reproductive output at Osceola. Changes in management to eliminate or reduce baiting for deer with corn would negatively affect the Osceola bear population. On Okefenokee, sporadic black gum and palmetto production influenced harvest rates and cub production and, thus, governed bear population dynamics.</p><p>The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) concluded in 1998 that listing the Florida black bear as threatened under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 was not warranted. That decision was largely based on the stability and protection afforded to a few subpopulations within the range of the subspecies, which includes the Okefenokee-Osceola subpopulation; our results support that conclusion. However, we suggest that metapopulation processes among the various subpopulations be given greater consideration, with the ultimate goal of managing the subspecies as a unit rather than as an assemblage of independent components. 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引用次数: 78
摘要
摘要:佛罗里达黑熊(Ursus americanus floridanus)的种群状况在其分布范围的许多地方都存在问题,其被列为联邦濒危物种的可能性一直是法律辩论的主题。1995年至1999年,我们在乔治亚州东南部(即奥克弗诺基)和佛罗里达州北部(即奥西奥拉)的奥克弗诺基-奥西奥拉生态系统的2个区域对佛罗里达黑熊进行了研究,以评估种群特征、栖息地条件和人类活动之间的关系。奥克弗诺基的熊被猎杀,而奥西奥拉的熊则没有。1995年6月至1998年9月,共捕获黑熊205只(124M:81F) 345次。在研究期间,我们从87只熊(16M:71F)个体中获得了13,573个无线电定位。在奥克弗诺基,根据粪便分析,黑胶(Nyssa sylvatica)和锯棕榈(Serenoa repens)果实是熊最重要的食物。在奥西奥拉,白尾鹿(Odocoileus virginianus)喂食器的玉米是最稳定的食物来源,但锯棕榈在可用时被大量使用。奥克弗诺基没有鹿饲料商提供的玉米。奥西奥拉的成年熊比奥克弗诺基重29% (t82 = 3.55, P <0.001)。奥西奥拉雌蚊的年平均家园面积(x = 30.3 km2±4.0 [SE], n = 53)的季节和年变化不大,几乎是奥克弗诺基雌蚊(55.9 km2±6.9,n = 69;Z =−2.47,p = 0.014)。相比之下,奥克弗诺基的辐射项圈雌性在黑胶产量不足的年份扩大了它们的活动范围。这种扩张在1998年秋季至1999年秋季期间最为明显,当时奥克弗诺基雌象的平均活动范围分别从14.5平方公里增加到78.4平方公里,其中包括更大比例的开放给运动狩猎的高地地区。因此,在1999年的猎熊季节,奥克弗诺基研究区捕获了5只母熊,而1996年至1998年仅捕获了7只母熊。成年母熊的栖息地分布在奥克弗诺基和奥西奥拉的山竹湾(Gordonia lasianthus)和桉树(Taxodium spp.)植被关联比例较高的地区。在这两个研究区域,在熊的生活范围内,松树植被群落的排名低于大多数其他群落,尽管熊的夏季和秋季饮食中大部分食物几乎都是松树。在奥克弗诺基,有16只戴着辐射项圈的熊死亡;其中狩猎死亡占11例(68.8%)。奥克弗诺基地区戴放射项圈的雄性年存活率为0.71 (95% CI = 0.53-0.88),而雌性的存活率更高(Z = 18.87, P <0.001)为0.89 (95% CI = 0.83-0.95)。雌性在奥西奥拉的存活率为0.97 (95% CI = 0.92-1.00)。从1995年到1999年,在奥克弗诺基研究区,总共有67只熊(51M:16F)被猎人杀死。基于奥克弗诺基所有的辐射项圈熊,其中许多居住在封闭的狩猎区域,我们估计雄性的年收获率为0.22 (95% CI = 0.03-0.37),雌性的年收获率为0.07 (95% CI = 0.01-0.12)。然而,当我们排除那些不在开放狩猎区域的熊时,雄性的年收获率上升到0.37 (95% CI = 0.07-0.58),雌性的年收获率上升到0.39 (95% CI = 0.09-0.58)。1995年秋天,黑树胶短缺,1996年冬天,奥克弗诺基15只戴放射性项圈的母熊中只有1只产下幼崽。这种低繁殖率与1997年冬季形成鲜明对比,当时大量生产黑胶,当时22只戴放射性项圈的母熊中有21只产了幼崽。在奥西奥拉研究区,繁殖产量更为一致,1997年、1998年和1999年分别从8胎、5胎和9胎中生产了46只幼崽。1999年,我们在奥克弗诺基和奥西奥拉研究区分别设置了88个和94个铁丝网捕集器,以估计种群规模。利用在毛发捕捉器收集的DNA,标记-再捕获模型估算出1999年奥克弗诺基有71头熊(95% CI = 59-91),奥西奥拉研究区有44头熊(95% CI = 40-57)。奥克弗诺基和奥西奥拉研究区估计密度分别为0.12头和0.14头/km2。基于熊在研究区域边界内停留时间的替代密度估计值相似(奥克弗诺基和奥西奥拉分别为0.11和0.14只熊/平方公里)。我们使用了一个种群模型来估计收获对奥克弗诺基熊种群的影响。除去收获,奥西奥拉熊的年平均数量增长(Λ = 1.184±0.002)高于奥克弗诺基熊(1.064±0.002;t18 = 3.93, P = 0.001),这很可能是由于保护不被狩猎和更高的招聘。包括移民和移民的影响,我们估计奥克弗诺基的年平均可持续收获量约为9只熊(12.6%),略低于1995-1999年的年平均收获量9.4只熊。 奥克弗诺基的这种狩猎水平是可持续的,但可能代表了该地区最高的剥削率。我们在奥西奥拉的标记重新捕获数据表明,亚成年熊的分散率很高,我们的种群建模数据支持这一假设;我们记录了奥克弗诺基的熊起源于奥西奥拉,而不是相反。我们推测,奥克弗诺基国家野生动物保护区(ONWR)内部的熊,在某种程度上是佛罗里达州北部的熊,是奥克弗诺基和周围乔治亚州县狩猎死亡造成的人口下降的一个来源。来自鹿饲养者的玉米最有可能是奥西奥拉的家庭规模较小、体重和繁殖量较大的原因。管理上的改变,以消除或减少用玉米诱捕鹿,将对奥西奥拉熊的数量产生负面影响。在奥克弗诺基,零星的黑胶和棕榈产量影响了采收率和幼崽产量,从而控制了熊的种群动态。美国鱼类和野生动物管理局(USFWS)在1998年得出结论,根据1973年的《濒危物种法》,将佛罗里达黑熊列为受威胁物种是不合理的。这一决定很大程度上是基于亚种范围内的几个亚种群的稳定性和保护,其中包括奥克芬诺基-奥西奥拉亚种群;我们的研究结果支持这一结论。然而,我们建议更多地考虑不同亚种群之间的元种群过程,最终目标是将亚种作为一个单位管理,而不是作为独立成分的组合。我们的研究说明了旅行走廊对于维持人口迁移过程的重要性。
Ecology of Florida Black Bears in the Okefenokee-Osceola Ecosystem
Abstract: The population status of the Florida black bear (Ursus americanus floridanus) is problematic within many portions of its range and its potential listing as a federally threatened species has been the subject of legal debate. We studied Florida black bears in 2 areas in the Okefenokee-Osceola ecosystem in southeast Georgia (i.e., Okefenokee) and north Florida (i.e., Osceola) from 1995 to 1999 to evaluate relationships between population characteristics, habitat conditions, and human activities. Bears in Okefenokee were hunted and those in Osceola were not. We captured 205 different black bears (124M:81F) 345 times from June 1995 to September 1998. We obtained 13,573 radiolocations from 87 (16M:71F) individual bears during the study.
In Okefenokee, black gum (Nyssa sylvatica) and saw palmetto (Serenoa repens) fruits were the most important foods for bears based on scat analysis. In Osceola, corn from white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) feeders was the most stable food source but saw palmetto was heavily used when available. Corn from deer feeders was not available in Okefenokee. Adult bears in Osceola were 29% heavier than those in Okefenokee (t82 = 3.55, P < 0.001).
The mean annual home-range size for Osceola females (x = 30.3 km2 ± 4.0 [SE], n = 53) varied little seasonally or annually and was almost half that of Okefenokee females (55.9 km2 ± 6.9, n = 69; Z = −2.47, P = 0.014). In contrast, radiocollared females in Okefenokee expanded their home ranges during years of poor black gum production. That expansion was most apparent between autumn 1998 and 1999, when mean home-range size for Okefenokee females increased from 14.5 km2 to 78.4 km2, respectively, and included a larger proportion of upland areas open to sport hunting. As a result, 5 females were harvested in the Okefenokee study area during the 1999 bear hunting season compared with only 7 harvested from 1996 to 1998.
Home ranges of adult female bears were located in areas with disproportionately high loblolly bay (Gordonia lasianthus) and gum-bay-cypress (Taxodium spp.) vegetation associations in Okefenokee and gum-bay-cypress associations in Osceola. The pine vegetation association ranked lower than most other associations within the home ranges of bears in both study areas even though much of the summer and autumn diets of bears included food items found almost exclusively in pine.
Sixteen mortalities of radiocollared bears were documented in Okefenokee; hunting accounted for 11 (68.8%) of these deaths. The annual survival rate of radiocollared males in Okefenokee was 0.71 (95% CI = 0.53-0.88) whereas survival of females in Okefenokee was higher (Z = 18.87, P < 0.001) at 0.89 (95% CI = 0.83-0.95). The survival rate for females in Osceola was 0.97 (95% CI = 0.92-1.00). Overall, 67 bears (51M:16F) were killed by hunters in the Okefenokee study area from 1995 to 1999. Based on all radiocollared bears in Okefenokee, many of which resided within areas closed to hunting, we estimated an annual harvest rate of 0.22 (95% CI = 0.03-0.37) for males and 0.07 (95% CI = 0.01-0.12) for females. When we excluded those bears that were not in areas open to hunting, however, the annual harvest rate rose to 0.37 (95% CI = 0.07-0.58) for males and 0.39 (95% CI = 0.09-0.58) for females.
Following a black gum shortage in autumn 1995, only 1 of 15 radiocollared females in Okefenokee produced cubs in winter 1996. That low reproductive rate was in contrast to winter 1997, which followed heavy black gum production, when 21 of 22 radiocollared females produced cubs. Reproductive output was more consistent in the Osceola study area, with 46 cubs being produced from 8, 5, and 9 litters in 1997, 1998, and 1999, respectively.
To estimate population size, we maintained 88 and 94 barbed-wire hair traps during 1999 in the Okefenokee and Osceola study areas, respectively. Using DNA collected at the hair traps, mark-recapture models produced estimates of 71 bears (95% CI = 59–91) in Okefenokee and 44 bears (95% CI = 40–57) in the Osceola study area during 1999. The estimated densities in the Okefenokee and Osceola study areas were 0.12 and 0.14 bears/km2, respectively. Alternative density estimates based on the amount of time bears spent within study area boundaries were similar (0.11 and 0.14 bears/km2 on Okefenokee and Osceola, respectively).
We used a population model to estimate the effect of harvest in the Okefenokee bear population. Excluding harvest, bears at Osceola experienced higher average annual population growth (Λ = 1.184 ± 0.002) than those at Okefenokee (1.064 ± 0.002; t18 = 3.93, P = 0.001), most likely due to protection from hunting and higher recruitment. Including the effects of emigration and immigration, we estimated an average annual sustainable harvest at Okefenokee of approximately 9 bears (12.6%), which was slightly less than the average 1995–1999 annual harvest of 9.4. That level of hunting in Okefenokee is sustainable but likely represents the highest exploitation rate in the region. Our mark-recapture data from Osceola suggest a high dispersal rate by subadult bears, and our population modeling data support this hypothesis; we documented bears in Okefenokee that originated from Osceola but not the reverse. We speculate that bears from the interior of the Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge (ONWR), and to some extent northern Florida, served as a source to the population sink caused by hunting mortality in Okefenokee and in the surrounding Georgia counties.
Corn from deer feeders was the most probable reason for smaller home-range sizes and greater body masses and reproductive output at Osceola. Changes in management to eliminate or reduce baiting for deer with corn would negatively affect the Osceola bear population. On Okefenokee, sporadic black gum and palmetto production influenced harvest rates and cub production and, thus, governed bear population dynamics.
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) concluded in 1998 that listing the Florida black bear as threatened under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 was not warranted. That decision was largely based on the stability and protection afforded to a few subpopulations within the range of the subspecies, which includes the Okefenokee-Osceola subpopulation; our results support that conclusion. However, we suggest that metapopulation processes among the various subpopulations be given greater consideration, with the ultimate goal of managing the subspecies as a unit rather than as an assemblage of independent components. Our study illustrates the importance of travel corridors for maintaining metapopulation processes.