{"title":"国防与安全能力规划的十大趋势","authors":"Stephan De Spiegeleire","doi":"10.1080/03071847.2011.626270","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Capability-based planning has become the gold standard for defence planning. It is increasingly understood as encompassing a broad range of abilities beyond just military materiel and personnel, evolving into a much wider range of factors. It has also helped NATO defence planners adapt forces to requirements rather than fit ends to means. But there is still more to be done to improve defence planning, not least understanding the challenge posed by ‘black swans’ and guarding against presentism.","PeriodicalId":51795,"journal":{"name":"RUSI Journal","volume":"156 1","pages":"20 - 28"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2011-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/03071847.2011.626270","citationCount":"49","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Ten Trends in Capability Planning for Defence and Security\",\"authors\":\"Stephan De Spiegeleire\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/03071847.2011.626270\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Capability-based planning has become the gold standard for defence planning. It is increasingly understood as encompassing a broad range of abilities beyond just military materiel and personnel, evolving into a much wider range of factors. It has also helped NATO defence planners adapt forces to requirements rather than fit ends to means. But there is still more to be done to improve defence planning, not least understanding the challenge posed by ‘black swans’ and guarding against presentism.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51795,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"RUSI Journal\",\"volume\":\"156 1\",\"pages\":\"20 - 28\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/03071847.2011.626270\",\"citationCount\":\"49\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"RUSI Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/03071847.2011.626270\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"POLITICAL SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"RUSI Journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03071847.2011.626270","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"POLITICAL SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Ten Trends in Capability Planning for Defence and Security
Capability-based planning has become the gold standard for defence planning. It is increasingly understood as encompassing a broad range of abilities beyond just military materiel and personnel, evolving into a much wider range of factors. It has also helped NATO defence planners adapt forces to requirements rather than fit ends to means. But there is still more to be done to improve defence planning, not least understanding the challenge posed by ‘black swans’ and guarding against presentism.
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