利用饲料效率数据评估牛增重模型的准确性

D.L. Robinson
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引用次数: 11

摘要

利用拟合剩余采食量(RFI)模型的误差变异量,比较了估算增重的不同方法的准确性和实用性。收集了1481头温带和热带适应品种的牛的数据,这些牛是国内(活重400公斤)、韩国(520公斤)或日本(仅阉牛)的育肥牛;600公斤)市场。对36组牛进行了为期4年的试验。目的是估计在采食量测量期间的体重增加,这至少是49天,平均63天,包括动物适应自动喂养系统的时间。不同的估计来自于权重随时间的线性和二次回归,符合以下条件:F1)饲养场的所有权重,F2)饲养场的所有权重,不包括进入饲养场后最初几周的非典型记录。更复杂的线性和二次模型也适用于体重测量采食量时,使用称量当天的饲料量,以及前几天的饲料量,以调整肠道填充。最后,对数据集F2拟合随机回归模型,包括每只动物生长的一般趋势和短期测量误差,以估计采食量测量期间的体重增加。采用不同的增重估计值拟合RFI方程:采食量=截距(s)+βw*平均值(weight0.73)+βg*增重+误差(即RFI)。根据拟合该方程的均方误差,较长的测量周期通常导致对体重增加的更准确估计。在饲养场使用所有重量测量所增加的准确性超过了在期望的时间间隔内不测量所造成的损失。测定采食量的周期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing the accuracy of modelling weight gain of cattle using feed efficiency data

Different methods of estimating weight gain were compared for accuracy and utility, using the amount of error variation from fitting the residual feed intake (RFI) model. Data were collected on 1481 cattle of temperate and tropically adapted breeds, feedlot-finished for the domestic (liveweight 400 kg), Korean (520 kg), or Japanese (steers only; 600 kg) markets. Cattle were tested in 36 groups over 4 years. The aim was to estimate weight gain over the period feed intake was measured, which was at least 49 days and averaged 63 days, including time for animals to adapt to the automatic feeding system. The different estimates were derived from linear and quadratic regressions of weight over time fitted to: F1) all weighings in the feedlot and F2) all weighings in the feedlot excluding atypical records in the first few weeks following feedlot entry. More complex linear and quadratic models were also fitted to weighings when feed intake was being measured, using the amount of feed eaten on the day of weighing, and previous days, to adjust for gut fill. Finally, a random regression model including general trends in the growth of each animal and short term measurement error was fitted to dataset F2 to estimate weight gain for the period feed intake was measured.

The RFI equation: feed intake=intercept(s)+βw*mean(weight0.73)+βg*weight gain+error (i.e. RFI) was fitted using the different weight gain estimates. Based on mean squared errors from fitting this equation, longer measurement periods generally resulted in more accurate estimates of weight gain. The increased accuracy from using all weight measurements in the feedlot outweighed the loss from not measuring over the desired time interval—i.e. the period for which feed intake was measured.

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