基于半参数回归模型的中国风电可持续增长路径探索

IF 9.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Bin Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国不仅面临严重的能源短缺,而且面临着减少二氧化碳排放的巨大压力。本文旨在探索促进中国风电发展的有效途径和政策。有趣的结果包括:(1)环境法规和绿色金融对风电的影响是非线性的。具体而言,环境法规在中东部地区产生倒U型影响,在西部地区产生U型影响。(2) 绿色金融对东部地区风电产生U型影响,对中西部地区产生N型影响。其他经济因素的影响呈现线性模式。(3) 城市化对中部地区风电的影响最大,因为对技术人才的投资更大,高科技产业的增长更快。(4) 由于绿色能源技术的快速发展,绿色技术创新对西部地区风电做出了最大贡献。(5) 由于财政投入较小,财政分权对东部地区风电发展的驱动作用较小。(6) 风电价格对西部地区风电发展有拉动作用,但对中东部地区没有拉动作用。最后,本文提出了基于估计结果的促进政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring the sustainable growth pathway of wind power in China: Using the semiparametric regression model

China not only faces severe energy shortages, but also enormous pressure to reduce CO2 emissions. The objective of this article is to explore effective pathways and policies to promote wind power development in China. The interesting results include: (1) the impact of environmental regulations and green finance on wind power is nonlinear. Specifically, environmental regulations exert an inverted U-shaped impact in the central and eastern regions, and a U-shaped effect in the western region. (2) Green finance produces a U-shaped impact on wind power in the eastern region, and an N-shaped effect in the central and western regions. The impact of other economic factors shows a linear pattern. (3) Urbanization has the greatest impact on wind power in the central region, because of greater investment in technological talents and faster growth in high-tech industries. (4) Green technology innovation has made the greatest contribution to wind power in the western region, because of the rapidly growing green energy technology. (5) Financial decentralization has the smaller driving effect on wind power development in the eastern region, due to small financial investment. (6) Wind power prices have a driving effect on wind power development in the western region, but not played a driving role in the central and eastern regions. Finally, this article proposes promoting policies based on estimated results.

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来源期刊
Energy Policy
Energy Policy 管理科学-环境科学
CiteScore
17.30
自引率
5.60%
发文量
540
审稿时长
7.9 months
期刊介绍: Energy policy is the manner in which a given entity (often governmental) has decided to address issues of energy development including energy conversion, distribution and use as well as reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in order to contribute to climate change mitigation. The attributes of energy policy may include legislation, international treaties, incentives to investment, guidelines for energy conservation, taxation and other public policy techniques. Energy policy is closely related to climate change policy because totalled worldwide the energy sector emits more greenhouse gas than other sectors.
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