{"title":"印度走向能源独立和清洁未来的道路:利用印度的可再生能源优势,到2047年实现经济高效的能源独立","authors":"Nikit Abhyankar , Priyanka Mohanty , Shruti Deorah, Nihan Karali, Umed Paliwal, Jessica Kersey, Amol Phadke","doi":"10.1016/j.tej.2023.107273","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>India’s heavy dependence on imported oil (90 %) and industrial coking coal (80 %) exposes the country to the volatility in global energy markets, impacting foreign exchange reserves & economy-wide inflation. This study assesses a pathway for India to meet its growing energy needs & achieve near-complete energy independence by 2047, focused on India’s three largest energy consuming sectors –power, transport, and industry — which collectively account for more than 80 % of energy consumption and energy-related CO2 emissions. We find that India can achieve energy independence through aggressive deployment of clean technology – renewables, electric vehicles, and green hydrogen - reducing the fossil energy imports by 90 % (or $240 billion). Clean energy deployment will inflation-proof India’s energy expenditure, create $2.5 trillion in net consumer savings, and avoid over 4 million air pollution related premature deaths by 2047. India’s electricity demand could increase nearly fivefold to over 6500 TWh/yr by 2047, while CO2 emissions from power, transport, and industrial sectors will peak in the early 2030 s before dropping to ∼800 million tons/year. Clean energy deployment will be more capital-intensive, needing a net additional investment of $1.5 trillion. Managing the clean energy transition would require significant policy support, including deployment mandates for cost-effective clean technologies, financial support for emerging technologies, long-term infrastructure planning, accelerating domestic manufacturing, and planning for a just transition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":35642,"journal":{"name":"Electricity Journal","volume":"36 5","pages":"Article 107273"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"India’s path towards energy independence and a clean future: Harnessing india’s renewable edge for cost-effective energy independence by 2047\",\"authors\":\"Nikit Abhyankar , Priyanka Mohanty , Shruti Deorah, Nihan Karali, Umed Paliwal, Jessica Kersey, Amol Phadke\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tej.2023.107273\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>India’s heavy dependence on imported oil (90 %) and industrial coking coal (80 %) exposes the country to the volatility in global energy markets, impacting foreign exchange reserves & economy-wide inflation. This study assesses a pathway for India to meet its growing energy needs & achieve near-complete energy independence by 2047, focused on India’s three largest energy consuming sectors –power, transport, and industry — which collectively account for more than 80 % of energy consumption and energy-related CO2 emissions. We find that India can achieve energy independence through aggressive deployment of clean technology – renewables, electric vehicles, and green hydrogen - reducing the fossil energy imports by 90 % (or $240 billion). Clean energy deployment will inflation-proof India’s energy expenditure, create $2.5 trillion in net consumer savings, and avoid over 4 million air pollution related premature deaths by 2047. India’s electricity demand could increase nearly fivefold to over 6500 TWh/yr by 2047, while CO2 emissions from power, transport, and industrial sectors will peak in the early 2030 s before dropping to ∼800 million tons/year. Clean energy deployment will be more capital-intensive, needing a net additional investment of $1.5 trillion. Managing the clean energy transition would require significant policy support, including deployment mandates for cost-effective clean technologies, financial support for emerging technologies, long-term infrastructure planning, accelerating domestic manufacturing, and planning for a just transition.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":35642,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Electricity Journal\",\"volume\":\"36 5\",\"pages\":\"Article 107273\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Electricity Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040619023000404\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Social Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Electricity Journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1040619023000404","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Social Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
India’s path towards energy independence and a clean future: Harnessing india’s renewable edge for cost-effective energy independence by 2047
India’s heavy dependence on imported oil (90 %) and industrial coking coal (80 %) exposes the country to the volatility in global energy markets, impacting foreign exchange reserves & economy-wide inflation. This study assesses a pathway for India to meet its growing energy needs & achieve near-complete energy independence by 2047, focused on India’s three largest energy consuming sectors –power, transport, and industry — which collectively account for more than 80 % of energy consumption and energy-related CO2 emissions. We find that India can achieve energy independence through aggressive deployment of clean technology – renewables, electric vehicles, and green hydrogen - reducing the fossil energy imports by 90 % (or $240 billion). Clean energy deployment will inflation-proof India’s energy expenditure, create $2.5 trillion in net consumer savings, and avoid over 4 million air pollution related premature deaths by 2047. India’s electricity demand could increase nearly fivefold to over 6500 TWh/yr by 2047, while CO2 emissions from power, transport, and industrial sectors will peak in the early 2030 s before dropping to ∼800 million tons/year. Clean energy deployment will be more capital-intensive, needing a net additional investment of $1.5 trillion. Managing the clean energy transition would require significant policy support, including deployment mandates for cost-effective clean technologies, financial support for emerging technologies, long-term infrastructure planning, accelerating domestic manufacturing, and planning for a just transition.
Electricity JournalBusiness, Management and Accounting-Business and International Management
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
95
审稿时长
31 days
期刊介绍:
The Electricity Journal is the leading journal in electric power policy. The journal deals primarily with fuel diversity and the energy mix needed for optimal energy market performance, and therefore covers the full spectrum of energy, from coal, nuclear, natural gas and oil, to renewable energy sources including hydro, solar, geothermal and wind power. Recently, the journal has been publishing in emerging areas including energy storage, microgrid strategies, dynamic pricing, cyber security, climate change, cap and trade, distributed generation, net metering, transmission and generation market dynamics. The Electricity Journal aims to bring together the most thoughtful and influential thinkers globally from across industry, practitioners, government, policymakers and academia. The Editorial Advisory Board is comprised of electric industry thought leaders who have served as regulators, consultants, litigators, and market advocates. Their collective experience helps ensure that the most relevant and thought-provoking issues are presented to our readers, and helps navigate the emerging shape and design of the electricity/energy industry.