{"title":"隐含波动率的对数矩公式","authors":"Vimal Raval, Antoine Jacquier","doi":"10.1111/mafi.12396","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We revisit the foundational Moment Formula proved by Roger Lee fifteen years ago. We show that in the absence of arbitrage, if the underlying stock price at time <i>T</i> admits finite log-moments <math>\n <semantics>\n <mrow>\n <mi>E</mi>\n <mo>[</mo>\n <mo>|</mo>\n <mi>log</mi>\n <msub>\n <mi>S</mi>\n <mi>T</mi>\n </msub>\n <msup>\n <mo>|</mo>\n <mi>q</mi>\n </msup>\n <mo>]</mo>\n </mrow>\n <annotation>$\\mathbb {E}[|\\log S_T|^q]$</annotation>\n </semantics></math> for some positive <i>q</i>, the arbitrage-free growth in the left wing of the implied volatility smile for <i>T</i> is less constrained than Lee's bound. The result is rationalized by a market trading discretely monitored variance swaps wherein the payoff is a function of squared log-returns, and requires no assumption for the underlying price to admit any negative moment. In this respect, the result can be derived from a model-independent setup. As a byproduct, we relax the moment assumptions on the stock price to provide a new proof of the notorious Gatheral–Fukasawa formula expressing variance swaps in terms of the implied volatility.</p>","PeriodicalId":49867,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/mafi.12396","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The log-moment formula for implied volatility\",\"authors\":\"Vimal Raval, Antoine Jacquier\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/mafi.12396\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We revisit the foundational Moment Formula proved by Roger Lee fifteen years ago. We show that in the absence of arbitrage, if the underlying stock price at time <i>T</i> admits finite log-moments <math>\\n <semantics>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>E</mi>\\n <mo>[</mo>\\n <mo>|</mo>\\n <mi>log</mi>\\n <msub>\\n <mi>S</mi>\\n <mi>T</mi>\\n </msub>\\n <msup>\\n <mo>|</mo>\\n <mi>q</mi>\\n </msup>\\n <mo>]</mo>\\n </mrow>\\n <annotation>$\\\\mathbb {E}[|\\\\log S_T|^q]$</annotation>\\n </semantics></math> for some positive <i>q</i>, the arbitrage-free growth in the left wing of the implied volatility smile for <i>T</i> is less constrained than Lee's bound. The result is rationalized by a market trading discretely monitored variance swaps wherein the payoff is a function of squared log-returns, and requires no assumption for the underlying price to admit any negative moment. In this respect, the result can be derived from a model-independent setup. As a byproduct, we relax the moment assumptions on the stock price to provide a new proof of the notorious Gatheral–Fukasawa formula expressing variance swaps in terms of the implied volatility.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49867,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Mathematical Finance\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/mafi.12396\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Mathematical Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/mafi.12396\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Mathematical Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/mafi.12396","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
We revisit the foundational Moment Formula proved by Roger Lee fifteen years ago. We show that in the absence of arbitrage, if the underlying stock price at time T admits finite log-moments for some positive q, the arbitrage-free growth in the left wing of the implied volatility smile for T is less constrained than Lee's bound. The result is rationalized by a market trading discretely monitored variance swaps wherein the payoff is a function of squared log-returns, and requires no assumption for the underlying price to admit any negative moment. In this respect, the result can be derived from a model-independent setup. As a byproduct, we relax the moment assumptions on the stock price to provide a new proof of the notorious Gatheral–Fukasawa formula expressing variance swaps in terms of the implied volatility.
期刊介绍:
Mathematical Finance seeks to publish original research articles focused on the development and application of novel mathematical and statistical methods for the analysis of financial problems.
The journal welcomes contributions on new statistical methods for the analysis of financial problems. Empirical results will be appropriate to the extent that they illustrate a statistical technique, validate a model or provide insight into a financial problem. Papers whose main contribution rests on empirical results derived with standard approaches will not be considered.