城市死亡率和联邦禁令的废除

IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS
David S. Jacks , Krishna Pendakur , Hitoshi Shigeoka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

联邦禁令是美国历史上最雄心勃勃的政策干预措施之一。然而,1933年后取消对酒精的限制并不是统一的。使用一个新的年度死亡平衡小组,我们发现城市一级的废除与非汽车事故死亡率下降11.6%有关,非汽车事故的死亡率主要包括意外中毒。我们将这一发现与大量文献联系起来,这些文献强调——但从未准确量化——联邦禁令期间掺假酒精的死亡率影响。因此,该法案的废除可能导致每年意外中毒事件的大幅减少。然而,结合之前显示婴儿死亡率增加幅度更大的结果,废除该法案可能会对公共健康产生负面影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Urban mortality and the repeal of federal prohibition

Federal prohibition was one of the most ambitious policy interventions in US history. However, the removal of restrictions on alcohol after 1933 was not uniform. Using a new balanced panel on annual deaths, we find that city-level repeal is associated with a 11.6% decrease in the rate of death by non-automobile accidents, a category which critically include accidental poisonings. We relate this finding to a large literature which emphasizes – but never precisely quantifies – the mortality effects of adulterated alcohol during federal prohibition. Thus, repeal likely led to a large annual reduction in accidental poisonings. However, combined with previous results showing even larger increases in infant mortality, repeal nonetheless likely had negative contemporaneous effects on public health.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.70%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Explorations in Economic History provides broad coverage of the application of economic analysis to historical episodes. The journal has a tradition of innovative applications of theory and quantitative techniques, and it explores all aspects of economic change, all historical periods, all geographical locations, and all political and social systems. The journal includes papers by economists, economic historians, demographers, geographers, and sociologists. Explorations in Economic History is the only journal where you will find "Essays in Exploration." This unique department alerts economic historians to the potential in a new area of research, surveying the recent literature and then identifying the most promising issues to pursue.
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