测量家庭通胀感知和预期:指导性与非指导性通胀问题的影响

IF 1.3 3区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

Journal of Macroeconomics Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI:10.1016/j.jmacro.2023.103558

Bernd Hayo , Pierre-Guillaume Méon

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引用次数: 0

摘要

一项对德国人口进行代表性调查的实验表明，让受访者报告一个数字，而不是让他们从一系列预定义的范围中选择，可以降低对过去和预期通货膨胀的反应率，并降低(增加)过去(预期)通货膨胀的报告。收入、受教育程度、性别、对货币政策的客观认识和主观认识、政治倾向等因素影响了效应的大小，但对效应的符号没有影响。东德和西德的受访者在柏林墙倒塌时年龄在15岁以上，他们的反应与当时年龄更小的人不同，这支持了基于不同通胀经历的“易受影响年份”假说。

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Measuring Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: The Effect of Guided vs Non-Guided Inflation Questions

An experiment using a representative survey of the German population shows that letting respondents report a number rather than asking them to choose from a list of predefined ranges lowers the response rate for both perceived past and expected inflation and decreases (increases) reported past (expected) inflation. Income, education, gender, objective and subjective knowledge about monetary policy, and political affiliation affect the effect's size but not its sign. East and West German respondents who were 15 or older when the Berlin Wall fell have reactions different from those who were younger at that time, which supports the ‘impressionable years’ hypothesis based on different inflation experiences.

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来源期刊

Journal of Macroeconomics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.50

自引率

7.10%

发文量

审稿时长

76 days

期刊介绍： Since its inception in 1979, the Journal of Macroeconomics has published theoretical and empirical articles that span the entire range of macroeconomics and monetary economics. More specifically, the editors encourage the submission of high quality papers that are concerned with the theoretical or empirical aspects of the following broadly defined topics: economic growth, economic fluctuations, the effects of monetary and fiscal policy, the political aspects of macroeconomics, exchange rate determination and other elements of open economy macroeconomics, the macroeconomics of income inequality, and macroeconomic forecasting.