货币政策对劳动力市场异质性的影响:以智利为例

Carlos Madeira , Leonardo Salazar
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们使用因子增强向量自回归(FAVAR)模型来分析紧缩货币政策冲击对智利按行业、年龄和收入五分位数分类的不同人口群体的宏观经济总量和劳动力市场指标的影响。各群体的通货膨胀率与失业率呈负相关。模型表明,利率上升后,大多数群体的离职率和工资波动率都有所上升。在受到利率冲击后,人们对就业率的反应各不相同,有的群体就业率下降,有的群体就业率上升。第一产业的劳动力市场对货币冲击最不敏感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of monetary policy on a labor market with heterogeneous workers: The case of Chile

We use a factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model to analyze the effect of a contractionary monetary policy shock on macroeconomic aggregates and labor market indicators for different demographic groups in Chile classified by industry, age, and income quintile. Inflation is negatively correlated with unemployment across groups. The model shows that most groups’ job-separation rate and wage volatility increase after an interest rate rise. The response of the job-finding rate is mixed, decreasing in some groups and rising in others after an interest rate shock. The labor market in the primary sector is the least sensitive to monetary shocks.

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