评估小规模农场厌氧消化减排的成本可变性

Jorge Diaz Huerta , Archishman Bose , David M. Wall , Jerry D. Murphy , Richard O'Shea
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引用次数: 1

摘要

农业被认为是一个难以削减的行业,2050年温室气体净零排放目标将具有挑战性。厌氧消化是一种可以在生产可再生能源和生物肥料的同时减少农业排放的技术。在爱尔兰,这项技术以前被评估为一种高成本的减排解决方案。然而,尚不清楚在这些分析中是否考虑了厌氧消化系统的潜在变化;不同系统的规模、工厂设计、技术、原料和沼气最终用途不同,可能直接影响减排成本。本研究评估了不同的沼气最终用途选择(产生热量、电力和生物甲烷气)以及不同农场规模的农场厌氧消化系统,用于消化草青贮饲料和牛浆饲料。为了评估和比较不同农场规模的每种沼气最终用途,根据每种系统配置的净现值(NPV)和总贴现GHG排放量获得了减排成本和潜力。评估的农场厌氧消化系统的减排成本在−7欧元/吨二氧化碳当量至816欧元/吨CO2当量之间。对于一个拥有185头奶牛的农场来说,将厌氧消化与使用锅炉生产热量相结合,通过区域供暖网络销售,在经济上是可行的选择。由于小规模升级系统的运营和资本成本高昂,生物气升级生产生物甲烷在财务上不可行。分析的一个关键结果表明,如果单个输入变量在系统边界内发生变化,系统的财务和环境绩效可能会发生显著变化。例如,关税和生物甲烷销售价格的提高可以大幅提高财务可行性,从+72欧元/吨二氧化碳当量提高到-227欧元/吨碳当量。同样,草青贮饲料成本较高(每吨43欧元)将对减排成本产生不利影响;将其从−7欧元/吨二氧化碳当量提高到492欧元/吨CO2当量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing the cost variability of emissions abatement in small-scale on-farm anaerobic digestion

Agriculture is considered a hard to abate sector in which 2050 net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions targets will be challenging. Anaerobic digestion is a technology that can reduce agricultural emissions whilst producing renewable energy and a biofertiliser. In Ireland this technology was previously evaluated to be a high cost of abatement solution. However, it is not clear if the potential variations in anaerobic digestion systems were accounted for in these analyses; scale, plant design, technology, feedstock and biogas end-use differ between systems and can directly impact abatement costs. This study assesses different biogas end-use options (generation of heat, electricity and biomethane) and varying farm sizes for on-farm anaerobic digestion systems digesting grass silage and cattle slurry feedstocks. To evaluate and compare each biogas end-use for the varying farm sizes, the abatement cost and potential was obtained based on the net present value (NPV) and the total discounted GHG emissions for each system configuration. The abatement cost of the on-farm anaerobic digestion systems assessed varied between −7 €/tCO2eq to 816 €/tCO2eq. For a farm with 185 dairy cows, the integration of anaerobic digestion with the use of a boiler to produce heat sold through a district heating network was found to be a financially viable option. Biogas upgrading to produce biomethane was not financially viable due to the high operational and capital costs of small-scale upgrading systems. A key result of the analysis shows that if a single input variable is changed within the system boundary, the financial and environmental performance of a system can be significantly changed. For example, an increase in tariffs and biomethane sale prices can substantially improve the financial viability from +72 €/tCO2eq to −227 €/tCO2eq. Similarly, a higher cost for grass silage feedstock (€43 per tonne) will unfavourably impact the abatement cost; raising it from −7 €/tCO2eq to 492 €/tCO2eq.

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