人力资本能拯救这个空虚的星球吗?

IF 2.1 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Economics Letters Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111352

Spyridon Boikos , Alberto Bucci , Tiago Neves Sequeira

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引用次数: 0

摘要

有证据表明，许多发达国家的生育率已经低于更替水平，这意味着这些地区的人口正在减少。我们建立了一个R&；基于D的人力资本和人口下降增长模型表明，引入人力资本可以缓解（或克服）可能出现的人均GDP停滞。此外，我们的模型使我们能够同时观察到持续的经济增长与长期的生产力停滞。

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May human capital rescue the Empty Planet?

Evidence suggests that fertility rates are already below the replacement level in many advanced countries, meaning that population is decreasing in these regions. We build an R&D-based growth model with human capital and declining population to show that the introduction of human capital can mitigate (or overcome) the stagnation in GDP per capita that may otherwise occur. Also, our model allows us simultaneously to observe sustained economic growth combined with secular productivity stagnation.

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来源期刊

Economics Letters ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

5.00%

发文量

348

审稿时长

30 days

期刊介绍： Many economists today are concerned by the proliferation of journals and the concomitant labyrinth of research to be conquered in order to reach the specific information they require. To combat this tendency, Economics Letters has been conceived and designed outside the realm of the traditional economics journal. As a Letters Journal, it consists of concise communications (letters) that provide a means of rapid and efficient dissemination of new results, models and methods in all fields of economic research.