Correct and Incorrect Recommendations for or against Fine Needle Biopsies of Hypofunctioning Thyroid Nodules: Performance of Different Ultrasound-based Risk Stratification Systems.

Purpose:  To evaluate the recommendations for or against fine needle biopsy (FNB) of hypofunctioning thyroid nodules (TNs) using of five different Ultrasound (US) -based risk stratification systems (RSSs).

Methods:  German multicenter study with 563 TNs (≥ 10 mm) in 534 patients who underwent thyroid US and surgery. All TNs were evaluated with ACR TI-RADS, EU-TIRADS, ATA, K-TIRADS 2016 and modified K-TIRADS 2021. A correct recommendation was defined as: malignant TN with recommendation for FNB (appropriate) or benign TN without recommendation for FNB (avoided). An incorrect recommendation was defined as: malignant TN without recommendation for FNB (missed) or benign TN with recommendation for FNB (unnecessary).

Results:  ACR TI-RADS demonstrated the highest rate of correct (42.3 %) and lowest rate of incorrect recommendations (57.7 %). The other RRSs showed similar results for correct (26.5 %-35.7 %) and incorrect (64.3 %-73.5 %) recommendations. ACR TI-RADS demonstrated the lowest rate of unnecessary (73.4 %) and the highest rate of appropriate (26.6 %) FNB recommendation. For other RSSs, the rates of unnecessary and appropriate FNB were between 75.2 %-77.1 % and 22.9 %-24.8 %. The lowest rate of missed FNB (14.7 %) and the highest rate of avoided FNB (85.3 %) was found for ACR TI-RADS. For the other RSSs, the rates of missed and avoided FNB were between 17.8 %-26.9 % and 73.1 %-82.2 %. When the size cutoff was disregarded, an increase of correct recommendations and a decrease of incorrect recommendations was observed for all RSSs.

Conclusion:  The RSSs vary in their ability to correctly recommend for or against FNB. An understanding of the impact of nodule size cutoffs seems necessary for the future of TIRADS.