货币政策能促进经济增长吗?尼日利亚经济的实证评估

A. Imoisi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

货币和财政政策是任何国家政府都可以用来有效实现各自经济预期增长的工具。本研究调查了1980-2017年货币政策在多大程度上促进尼日利亚经济增长。二级数据来自尼日利亚顶点银行(CBN)和国家统计局的《统计公报》。采用单位根检验、Johansen协整和向量误差校正模型(VECM)对本研究收集的数据进行分析。结果表明,约62%的GDP由模型中的变量解释,而38%由模型中未包含但被误差项捕获的其他变量解释。此外,货币政策在短期内对尼日利亚的经济增长没有产生重大影响,但在长期内对该国的增长产生了重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does Monetary Policy Induce Economic Growth? An Empirical Evaluation of the Nigerian Economy
Monetary and Fiscal policies are instruments which the government of any nation can employ to effectively achieve the desired growth of their respective economies. This study investigates the extent to which monetary policies can promote economic growth in Nigeria from 1980-2017. Secondary data were used from the Statistical Bulletin of the apex bank in Nigeria (CBN) and National Bureau of Statistics. Unit root test, Johansen co-integration and the vector error correction model (VECM) were employed in analyzing the data collected for this study. The result showed that approximately 62% of GDP is explained by variables in the model while 38% is accounted for and explained by other variables not included in the model but are captured by the error term. In addition, monetary policies did not have a significant impact on Nigeria’s economic growth in the short run, but significantly affected the country’s growth in the long run.
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